billyg and Z,
colonels is actually arguing the point I've made several times in the past. Specifically, since HD does NOT include any of the following (momentum of any kind, player biorhythms, team chemistry, clutch ability, etc.), such scoring swings would NOT be as significant in HD as in RL. In essence, HD has ONLY the ratings, settings, and RNG. Real life has (in essence) all those PLUS the other (intangible) factors above. So (as I've done several times in the past), I ask "HOW DOES WIS PRODUCE SUCH SCORING/OUTCOME VARIANCE WITHOUT AN 'EXTRA' RANDOM FACTOR?" With homecourt advantage, this could explain it (IF it VARIES on a somewhat random basis). However, this was a tourney game, so I can't think of what HD included to allow such a swing.