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slainte
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My pythags have me in 9th place:  .571+.627+.566+.617+.524+.521 averages to .571

Actual:  (same order)  .493+.507+.565+.609+.478+.580 averages to .539
8/25/2015 8:10 PM
ozomatli
Posts: 10694 (0)
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1108 1 1
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I wonder what brian, Arlen, rbow and disco's pythags are
8/25/2015 9:52 PM
zephyr1949
Posts: 1965 (0)
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856 6 6
Prospect
My 2nd Mauch in 4 days,,,this is not good sign.
8/27/2015 2:05 PM
firesalt
Posts: 2530 (0)
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267 1
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Is the master board going to go up soon so we can all see what place we are in?
8/30/2015 7:38 AM
ozomatli
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It's been up since the first week, the link is in the Round 1 Standings thread
8/30/2015 7:56 AM
ybjsports
Posts: 3471 (2)
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765
Rookie
I saw Bob Friend last night along with some other 1960 WC Pittsburgh Pirates who were honored before the game.  I wish I could have talked to him and told him how he is 13-1 at the All-Star break for my team in League #4.
8/30/2015 11:00 AM
ArlenWilliam
Posts: 2106 (0)
Hall of Famer
266 1 37
Prospect
Sparky and my batter trying for a bunt hit again, with two out and none on. Third baseman must have been playing pretty deep....
8/30/2015 2:27 PM
schwarze
Posts: 44817 (1)
Hall of Famer
1842 74 4 1 1
Hall of Famer
The good news is that my 1-run loss rate has slowed, as I went 21-20 in 1-run games since my last update.  I finally cracked the Top 24.  My expected winning% would put me 5th overall. 

Update thru 89 games...

Theme  W- L  Actual  Expected
-----------------------------
 70M:  7- 9   .562     .636
 80M: 15-15   .539     .586
 90M: 11-23   .528     .584
100M:  7-12   .528     .600
110M:  9- 9   .472     .491
120M: 10- 9   .607     .605
-----------------------------
      59-75   .539     .584

EDIT:  1-5 in 1-run games in the last 24 hours. 
9/2/2015 1:28 PM (edited)
schwarze
Posts: 44817 (1)
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1842 74 4 1 1
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I anticipate posting the Round 2 themes by the weekend. 
9/2/2015 11:12 AM
ArlenWilliam
Posts: 2106 (0)
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266 1 37
Prospect
Posted by schwarze on 9/2/2015 11:12:00 AM (view original):
I anticipate posting the Round 2 themes by the weekend. 
You are the man!

I see your name on most all the threads, so I figure you are the man.

My bad news, this evening: 0-6
My good news: four of the losses were by 1 run or in extra innings

"Always look on the bright side of life," as the song goes...

9/2/2015 7:00 PM
EasyE7273
Posts: 760 (0)
Hall of Famer
106 1 35 39 37 11 79 4
Prospect
Went 12-6 today, unusually good. Funny thing is four of my teams are now 44-49 and another at 43-50. Consistent. Bad, but consistent.
9/2/2015 7:29 PM
schwarze
Posts: 44817 (1)
Hall of Famer
1842 74 4 1 1
Hall of Famer
I decided to do some further analysis on my teams.  So I parsed the wins and losses by scoring margin and by strength of opponent (as of 94 games).  I categorized my opponent into 5 categories:
Great (.600+)
Good (.525-.600)
Average (.475-.525)
Below Avg (.400-.475)
Poor (<.400)

Here are the results...

Opponent Win by 3+ Lose by 3+ Win by 2 Lose by 2 Win by 1 Lose by 1 Total Wins Total Loss Win%
------------------ -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- --------------
Poor 24 10 4 5 7 3 35 18 0.660
Bel Avg 53 31 12 17 19 14 84 62 0.575
Average 63 47 15 17 16 30 94 94 0.500
Good 42 25 19 10 16 27 77 62 0.554
Great 8 14 1 5 2 8 11 27 0.289
Total 190 127 51 54 60 82 301 263 0.534
    0.599   0.486   0.423   0.534  
                   
                   
Opponent Win by 3+ Lose by 3+ Win by 2 Lose by 2 Win by 1 Lose by 1 Total Wins Total Loss Win%
------------------ -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- --------------
Poor & Bel Avg 77 41 16 22 26 17 119 80 0.598
    0.653   0.421   0.605      
                   
Avg, Good, Great 113 86 35 32 34 65 182 183 0.499
    0.568   0.522   0.343      
9/3/2015 9:39 AM
schwarze
Posts: 44817 (1)
Hall of Famer
1842 74 4 1 1
Hall of Famer
The take away from this is that my teams can't beat average (or better) opponents in games decided by 1 run.  We're also terrible vs. the best teams, in all measures.
9/3/2015 9:43 AM
ejstockman
Posts: 4084 (0)
Hall of Famer
898
Rookie
My first schwarze this season. :(
9/3/2015 2:06 PM
schwarze
Posts: 44817 (1)
Hall of Famer
1842 74 4 1 1
Hall of Famer
Better re-check the lingo page, ej
9/3/2015 2:30 PM
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