Ask the 'Someone who isn't MikeT' thread. Topic

Posted by tlowster on 7/21/2020 11:20:00 PM (view original):
Posted by damag on 7/16/2020 7:49:00 AM (view original):
Here's a Budgeting data point I've seen by accident, make of it what you will:

This season, due to the current status of both my teams, I ended up budgeting 12 million International scouting for both. As we all know, budgeting at less than 20 million gives you both 1/ less reliable("accurate") projections and 2/ a lesser number of prospects seen.

The projections I've seen have been as unpredictable as expected. Most are wild overratings, with weird imbalances. Nothing unusual based on my previous experiences with low budget.

In both worlds, based on the players who have been signed by everyone, the International pool has looked about the same quality and number. That, as always, can be expected to be random. This season it's just happened that they seem quite similar.

The one unexpected result which I've not had a chance to see before: Team A saw twice as many prospects as Team B. Only one example, but it introduces the possibility that this is yet another variable of reduced scouting budget.





Twelve million for each right? One team saw twice as many prospects? Can you tell if it was a quality vs. quantity thing?
Couldn't see any difference in the quality of projections, which is why I brought it up. Same budget, observably same quality, notable difference in quantity. Like I said, it's only one data point, but I hadn't really expected the number of prospects I'd see to possibly be such a wide variable. In the league with my lower quantity of prospects, I've been seeing them at a rate I'd compare to times I've had 4 million in scouting before.

7/22/2020 7:44 AM
Posted by tlowster on 7/21/2020 11:30:00 PM (view original):
Posted by hokiefan55 on 7/21/2020 6:26:00 PM (view original):
Draft ranking question. In general what can you expect for prospects who are "Unknown. He wasn't scouted well enough" in relation to the lowest ranked prospects who were scouted and ranked. Are any of the Unknown prospects possibly better prospects and is it worth ranking them above the lowest projected prospects on my list.
I would add that this is all relative -- what is defined as low? A guy that can't hit, can't pitch and can't field shouldn't be drafted anywhere so yes, i would put some lottery ticket guys ahead of him. However, the real question you have to ask yourself is how high are you willing to place a lottery pick over a guy that you see that might not make the MLB roster, but if your scouts are underrating him, he could turn out to be a contributor at the MLB level. Also, what about your minor leagues, do you care if you have just a bunch scrubs in the minors? Some of those guys that you draft in the third through twelfth round help your minor league squads compete. You start drafting lottery picks, then you might have to get more creative filling your minor league squads if you are hoping that they compete.
Yes it's all relative. A personal choice. What was happening when I saw less than 250 prospects was that at least half of them were projected to max out with Overalls in the 40s. So by the 10th round I was drafting players with hitting and pitching ratings in the 10s and 20s, tryout camp quality, who wanted 50k to sign. They weren't even going to help my minor league teams compete. Waste of money.



7/22/2020 7:50 AM
I've got a prospect with 92/84/62/62 defensive ratings. Is playing him at 3B (with a super GB-heavy pitching staff) a totally insane idea?
7/22/2020 6:09 PM (edited)
Why wouldn’t you play him at 2B or CF?
7/22/2020 7:14 PM
In the minors Id play him at all positions.
7/22/2020 7:51 PM
7/22/2020 7:59 PM
Posted by jamier2003 on 7/22/2020 7:14:00 PM (view original):
Why wouldn’t you play him at 2B or CF?
I've got two other guys with similar range but worse glove.
7/22/2020 10:52 PM
Posted by dmalone01 on 7/22/2020 10:52:00 PM (view original):
Posted by jamier2003 on 7/22/2020 7:14:00 PM (view original):
Why wouldn’t you play him at 2B or CF?
I've got two other guys with similar range but worse glove.
What about arm strength and accuracy?

7/23/2020 11:15 AM
Posted by jamier2003 on 7/23/2020 11:15:00 AM (view original):
Posted by dmalone01 on 7/22/2020 10:52:00 PM (view original):
Posted by jamier2003 on 7/22/2020 7:14:00 PM (view original):
Why wouldn’t you play him at 2B or CF?
I've got two other guys with similar range but worse glove.
What about arm strength and accuracy?

All three are within 1-2 points on both strength and accuracy.
7/23/2020 3:48 PM
Posted by dmalone01 on 7/22/2020 6:09:00 PM (view original):
I've got a prospect with 92/84/62/62 defensive ratings. Is playing him at 3B (with a super GB-heavy pitching staff) a totally insane idea?
OMG second base. He'll get you a ton of + plays. But CF is the best place for him overall. A good CF like that is hard to come by.
7/23/2020 10:46 PM (edited)
7/27/2020 11:20 AM
A guy in one of my leagues had a 40 win pitcher almost every year... outstanding high ST/DUR reliever whom he used as a Tandem B.
7/27/2020 12:03 PM
Similar here. I use all my relievers as SuA or mopup.
7/27/2020 12:48 PM
Posted by brianp87 on 7/27/2020 11:20:00 AM (view original):
Anyone have a pitcher get 40 + wins?
Player Profile: Steve McCorley - Hardball Dynasty Baseball | WhatIfSports
71-9 the last two seasons. God's numbers.
7/28/2020 10:40 PM
Am I correct in understanding that if I put my SP who just went down for 40 days with "Shoulder, inflammation" on the 60-day DL, there's a chance he'll "recover" twice and potentially end up with better ratings than before?
7/29/2020 9:53 PM
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