Quote: Originally Posted By Rails on 7/07/2008
Wouldn't your four highest rated, best performing players be the four seniors? That's my point. If you have 3-4 seniors, they will be your highest rated players and best performing players wouldn't they? That's assuming they were good recruits to begin with and have progressed nicely. If so, I don't see how those four would be less apt to be drafted in favor of a junior.
For example, assume you have four seniors who are rated in the 800s (with good core ratings) and all average 10 ppg or more. Your 750 rated junior who averages 7 ppg would be less apt to jump.
Now, if your junior has higher core ratings and/or is more critical to your team than the four seniors, then you would have a problem.
It doesn't seem to work that way. When you have success in the NT, you lose players. Iowa St just won the NT in Wooden. He had 4 seniors, 3 of which were his highest rated players. He had 4 players average 12+ points a game, the 3 seniors and 1 Jr. His fifth option at 8+ pts was a junior.
Both of those Jrs declared. I'm not sure if it's realistic or not to limit the # of underclassmen that declare per draft, but it's very hard to maintain class balance in D1 when you are successful. If you make deep NT runs, it seems even the Jrs that are 3rd-6th options on the team can go pro.