Posted by Iguana1 on 6/25/2012 12:32:00 PM (view original):
I still believe the above listed "accepted" baseline is probably off on about 1/4 of the teams.
based on the worlds that started when prestige was visible here's what I came up with for the BigEast.
Connecticut |
A+ |
Syracuse |
A+ |
Cincinnati |
A- |
Louisville |
A- |
Georgetown |
B |
Pittsburgh |
B |
Providence |
B |
Seton Hall |
B |
St. John's |
B |
Villanova |
B |
West Virginia |
B |
Rutgers |
B- |
i am with iguana on this one. he ran the data on the minimum prestige of those schools, and in the cases where his prestige is lower than listed, i think hes almost definitely correct. in the ones where his is higher than listed, it could go either way, but i put more faith in iguana's numbers for sure.
i never heard they only went back 10 seasons, i guess thats why some of these baselines really **** me off. UC higher than ohio state? illinois higher than indiana and WAY higher than georgetown? knowing its 10 seasons, it makes more sense, but if you aren't going to update it for another 10 years, you probably should go back more than 10 seasons... and if its only 10, floating baseline makes a hell of a lot more sense. it was one thing when baseline was the weight of 80 seasons, and HD worlds were into like, 40 seasons. now that its 10 real seasons and 80 HD seasons, that just doesn't really make any sense...
edit: i didn't realize comparing first season results was part of it. i thought he just looked at the minimum prestige over all worlds for all teams, which, assuming someone sucked at every school, would give you all the baseline figures for BCS schools - or at least, the best case prestige figures (in case some school was blessed with never being awful). no school can drop more than 5 partial grades under their baseline, i have more faith in that than any of these other methods, when it conflicts with a lower result.
seble also only said, to the best of my knowledge, that this list was *reasonably* accurate (emphasis mine).
5/26/2014 3:09 PM (edited)