Posted by snafu4u on 9/30/2016 9:05:00 PM (view original):
Posted by kcsundevil on 9/30/2016 8:27:00 PM (view original):
Posted by hughesjr on 9/30/2016 7:46:00 PM (view original):
It is NOT a coin flip .. I wish you guys would stop saying that.
A coin flip is 50% / 50% with nothing modifying the possibility.
The person with the most effort gets the highest shot of getting a recruit .. other people who are Very High also have a good chance. People with High have a lower chance. If it boils down to 60% for Team A and 30 % for Team B and 10% for Team C .. based on effort, that is not a freaking coin flip. Any more than a 95 PER / 95 SPD / 95 BH guy might have a 70% chance of hitting a 3 pt shoot while a Center with 3 PER might have a 5% chance is a coin flip. Sometimes the Center hits a 3 point shot ... sometimes the 10% team wins. But most of the time they don't.
We get it .. some of you don't like that. Some of us do. Because, probability works and I like probability. That is why I play the game in the first place.
According to the Dev Chat ... 3% of battle signings went to High teams ... that means 97% when to Very High teams. How the ^&^&% is that a coin flip?
The 3% stat was an eye-roller for me.
There are two possibilities there:
1) The 3% number is not accurate.
2) The 3% number is accurate, in which case it's such a remote possibility for a high to win that they shouldn't even be bothering allowing it. It'll always feel like a bug.
Anecdotally from other worlds and glancing through Tarks top 100 signings it is more like 50/50 or 60/40.....definitely not 97/3.
I don't know what the 3% figure means exactly, but what I interpret is them saying a recruit has gone to a "high" considering team when there was one or more "very high" considering teams competing for him. Put that way, it makes sense. It's not saying that of all the 1-on-1 battles between high and very high, high wins only 3% of the time. I would imagine most battles come down to very high signing players that weren't battled over, and VH vs VH (vsVH) battles where all combatants were relatively close. If those signings are part of that 97%, then the figure is probably accurate, and unsurprising.