Posted by rogelio on 5/3/2017 10:03:00 AM (view original):
Posted by MikeT23 on 5/3/2017 9:37:00 AM (view original):
1. Yes, worlds are undersold.
2. Yes, "new" sells better than "old".
3. It might indicate recognition of the current situation. But I agree somewhat, closing worlds indicates failure.
4. Didn't suggest merging worlds as an option. HBD requires 32 owners to agree. I indicated that it would be difficult to get every user in HD worlds to agree. In fact, I pointed out the disaster that could occur.
The "user base" likely hasn't changed much in 5-8 years. A lot of the users who quit had multiple teams. The newer users do not. WifS has the data but I suspect there are actually more HD players now than there was this time last year. With the low cost of running HD, there's really no reason to "pull the plug." In lesser terms, think of the bubble gum machine in front of the store. Maintenance is nothing more than refilling it every week. You won't make much but the cost is a trip to the store. No reason to remove the bubble gum machine.
Personally, I think WifS should open an 11th world. I think it would match the rough total of 300 that populates every world almost immediately. The only concern would be the effect on the other worlds. Some would drop teams to start "new". And I think we all agree that playing a human-populated world is more fun than playing SIMAI over and over.
This is interesting. We agree on virtually everything. The only point of disagreement is over what to do after WIS opens an 11th world.
I doubt that WIS is willing to expand beyond 10 worlds, but I would like to think that it could manage 11 or 12 for a year, then let it naturally level out at 10, unless revenue happened to improve enough to justify a higher number of worlds. There would be plenty of time to adjust.
As a side note, which I think is obvious, the current 3.0 recruiting would not function in a new world rollout. Teams would have to be generated with existing rosters for season #1. One can imagine that the race to D1 would get stalled when a D3 coach signed a #1 OVR recruit. At D3, that player would probably not be able to go EE. A lot of that would have to be worked out before a new world could be released.
We don't agree on two key points.
1. The effect of opening a new world would have on existing worlds. I think it's a big negative so, really, the only decision to make would be as to whether the positive would outweigh the negative. I think it would. But I also think at least one world would wither and die on the vine. Maybe that's not the worst thing. In nature, the strong kill and eat the weak. Might be what HD needs.
2. The shutting down of HD. I don't think there's any danger of that. As stated, I'd wager there are actually MORE users now than a year ago. Just less teams as long-time users with many teams quit. I think the team numbers will gradually increase.
In the fantasy world where WifS actually does open an 11th world, I think it would be awesome if ALL D3 teams were identical from the start. The cream would rise to the top just as it should. And, since everyone theoretically qualifies for D2 after 1 season, signing that HUGE D1 player would indicate that someone is making a home in D3. Which is healthy for the world anyway.