I got two likely going, #1 and #16. I bet I keep one since they play. PF/C. If one was pg,sg or sf, I would lose both.

You lose them both

Posted by zorzii on 7/6/2018 12:28:00 PM (view original):
I got two likely going, #1 and #16. I bet I keep one since they play. PF/C. If one was pg,sg or sf, I would lose both.

Unfortunately I think the only way one of them stays is because David Cusumano bolts at #82 (on the fence) and with the 4 SRs on your roster, you can't lose both of your Likely Going (in other words, you'll highly likely have 2 EEs one way or another anyway).

I suspect #1 will have something north of 90% probability to leave. #16 will have something between 80-90% probability. I don’t know of any reason to suspect their position matters. If they both leave, which is likely, but not a given, #82 will have to stay.

Lost both! Which is good for the game

Posted by Trentonjoe on 7/6/2018 3:01:00 PM (view original):
You lose them both

This guy is brilliant

Posted by Trentonjoe on 7/7/2018 11:08:00 AM (view original):

Posted by Trentonjoe on 7/6/2018 3:01:00 PM (view original):
You lose them both

This guy is brilliant

You jinxed me!

Yeah, it’s good for the game. It’s *also* good for the game that a small chance to return is built into the process.

So whats the % chance of a "likely going" player going EE?

Posted by mullycj on 7/7/2018 4:30:00 PM (view original):
So whats the % chance of a "likely going" player going EE?

I don’t know the %, but it’s high, and it probably depends on where exactly he is on the board. The higher, the more likely. I always figured the likely going guys were somewhere between ~70-90+, depending on how high they were. But I don’t keep the data, because it doesn’t matter to me all that much, so it’s just a guess.