Posted by DoctorKz on 10/9/2018 7:03:00 PM (view original):
Many races were tight. She failed to campaign in several key states after the convention. Her experts overestimated her chances. Trump had a good strategy to get to 270.
His numbers aren't great. His job performance number is better than his personal approval numbers, and is better than it was earlier in the year. Clinton and Obama didn't have great numbers at times during their first terms. Two years is an eternity in this political environment.
Why she lost doesn't really matter, at least for the purpose of this discussion.
While I agree that we've entered a weird space-time continuum regarding political news these days (Manafort agreeing to cooperate was less than a month ago but feels like 5 years ago), the first 2020 primaries will happen in 16 months. That's a blink.
The jobs numbers can't really get better. The only thing that would really help Trump's approval numbers would be if the investigation wraps up without touching him.
He'll rally his base with racial tensions just like he did in 2016, but I think he'll have a hard time with independents in 2020 (they broke about evenly in 2016) and he's essentially dead to college educated women in the GOP.