Player has 3 preferences:
Near home
Wants rebuild
Press D

Team A
Prestige - A+ (recent championship game appearance, 3rd out of 12 overall A+ schools in the world)
Preferences - very good distance (86miles); very bad rebuild (see above); neutral press
Promises - 15 minutes
Prioritization - 620 AP (avg just over 44/cycle)

Team B
Prestige - C+
Preferences - good distance (267miles); neutral rebuild; good press (HCP)
Promises - start +25 minutes
Prioritization - 616 AP (44/cycle)

Guess the odds. I’ll answer tonight.

65-35 for team B. Relatively close to home, neutral rebuild, press def, plus 25 min playing time. Looks like a no brainer to me if I were this kid.

I'm assuming 20 HVs/1 CV for both?

Team A. Has a clear prestige advantage. Slight advantage in distance.

I'll go with Team A 54/46

Is this D1?

58/42 in favor of Team A.

D1. And yes, max visits by both teams.

Alright. Revising with the max visits added in, I still have it as 56/44, but now in favor of team A.

A 51, B 49

50/50. It’s close.

50/50. It’s close.

y'all are underestimating the effect of prestige

(60%-62%)/(40%-38%) Team A over Team B

I have Team A up alot, 65-35

Team A 60-40. Prestige > Rebuild especially w/ no Wants to Play preference.

66-34 team A.

I underestimated the effect of prestige, for sure. I also gambled that the A+ wouldn’t go all in.

The rebuild preference did keep me in it, but it didn’t mitigate 2 levels of prestige for what was essentially equal effort. Even a stand alone start and extra minutes couldn’t pull me close to even.

I agree with FD, I think a lot of people have the wrong idea about prestige being significantly weakened. It’s still the dominating factor, along with number of scholarships.