That depends on that sims effort. D1 teams recruiting credit is always shown exact. So if sim is at moderate, they are really at moderate. D2 recruiting credit is artificial in RS1, as moderate is actually high or very high in most cases, but doesn't show that until RS2 begins of course.
So if that sim offers more on the first cycle of RS2, they'd move up accordingly (whether it's high or very high) . If they sit idle for that cycle, they would remain at moderate.
All this is based on recruiting a projected D1 player