Topoftheworl is wrong here. I have done it, multiple times.

By all means, refrain from trying. It makes no difference to me. I'm going to do it, and I am fully confident that it will work. If it doesn't, I'll eat my shoe. I'll also post the results here.

Only post the results if it works. I really don't want to see what results from you eating your shoe.

My original query here was "does a (true) first round type A compensation pick not signing net you a type D pick? I specifically asked for information on type A, because I knew, for a certainty, from experience, that a type D one does it. I looked into this from previous drafts in Yastrzemski World, and found examples of it working for type A. So, unless they changed the programming (highly doubtful IMO), it definitely works. I will stake my reputation on it.

Well. It doesn't happen often, but it is nice to know it works. If it doesn't, I am sure somebody will post here about it soon. Then again, this could be buried in this chain by then. Maybe have a separate thread with this topic in the subject line???

Posted by shobob on 3/23/2019 11:45:00 AM (view original):
My original query here was "does a (true) first round type A compensation pick not signing net you a type D pick? I specifically asked for information on type A, because I knew, for a certainty, from experience, that a type D one does it. I looked into this from previous drafts in Yastrzemski World, and found examples of it working for type A. So, unless they changed the programming (highly doubtful IMO), it definitely works. I will stake my reputation on it.

Must have been a rules change at some point. Many years ago you could not and since you could not at that point I hadn't tried since.

Yaz world is now in season 50. It worked for a guy (type A) way back in season 17. I did it myself with type D picks over multiple seasons from seasons 26-28

Maybe I am misunderstanding the question. You can get D’s from A’s, I thought the question was whether you can get D’s from D’s.

You can get Ds from both As and Ds. My original question was regarding As, because I hadn't ever done it myself. I know from personal experience that it works with Ds.

And the most improvement you've seen in a given rating (that wasn't DITR related) over a prospect's career was (from signing to peak)...

40 points for vR (plus the 1 or 2 from his draft season that doesn't show up on the card)

Posted by shobob on 3/17/2019 3:01:00 PM (view original):

Posted by tlowster on 3/13/2019 9:57:00 PM (view original):
Perfectly reasonable explanation.

Can somebody explain how a team that has an expected winning percentage of .576, ends up with an actual winning percentage of .469? My guess is that there are a lot of factors at play as well. My Wichita team in Earl Weaver was 2nd in the MLB in ERA, WHIP, Slugging given up, and OBP given up. First in the AL in runs given up. Also, was above average in every major hitting category. They were not world beaters at the plate, but they OPS'd .761 as a team at the plate this season.

I suppose it could be just dumb luck (1-run game record was 15-30). It could be that the AL that I am in is the most competitive league I have ever been in. Five of the six playoff teams are the same every year, but even the guys that don't make it are still full of talent up and down their line up and pitching staff. It could be that I was fifth in the league at GIDP (on offense) and first in the league in caught stealing (on offense) and maybe the games that I lost by one or two runs were the games where I had guys get caught stealing in high leverage spots or I had a guy up with the bases loaded and one out and he grounds into a double play.

I am probably just coming across as whiny here, but having a 0.060 difference between your expected winning percentage and your actual winning percentage is bad luck. Having a .107 difference is downright ridiculous. It would be easier to swallow if I had an explanation. Has anybody else ever seen a .107+ bad luck season where your expected winning pct is that much higher than your actual?

Final Line:

Team	Owner	W-L	PCT	GB	Division	1-Run Games	Extra Inning	Spring Training	RS	RA	Exp PCT
Honolulu Lunas	dewersansoda	99-63	.611	-	20-10	22-16	8-6	7-11	881	702	.607
Wichita Seven Nation Army	tlowster *	76-86	.469	23.0	14-16	15-30	8-9	8-10	769	652	.576

15—30 in one-run games indicates to me that your bullpen, bench players, and perhaps fielding probably suck. My guess is your team probably struggles to hold a lead, and rarely manufactures a late score to win a game.

My defense was top notch except RF. I had the gold glove 2b. I had an overplaying 3b and SS and an 89 range 81 glove in CF. I don't think you can have the 2nd best pitching in the World with a poor defense.

I had two Cy Young Candidates on the pitching staff, but they were both starting pitchers. I traded for better bullpen talent by mid-year, and they performed well.

To be honest, I think it came down to two things:
1. The power came mainly in blowout victories - Poor timing/bad luck.
2. The manager settings for stolen bases was probably too high. I had four guys starting that had 150+ (speed plus baserunning), but those guys were not getting on base enough to warrant a high stolen base manager setting. It ended up being that my slower, on-base guys, would attempt to steal and get caught. That probably ended a lot of innings or killed some rallies - User error.

What's the best method to estimate pitcher WAR? For position players, I have a decent handle on guesstimating batting, fielding and running WAR but pitchers are proving to be a bit trickier.

12-35 in one run games this season. Beat that! (This is not a question rather a challenge)

Have you seen a player on the 15-day DL get two injury recoveries before (if left there long enough)?