Posted by kcsundevil on 5/31/2019 1:46:00 PM (view original):
Posted by topdogggbm on 5/31/2019 1:35:00 PM (view original):
EEs are random. The game randomly picks which players in the top 15 that will stay. And it picks which players that are below 60 or unlisted that will declare. With no rhyme or reason. Period. Why did number 12 stay but number 98 declared? There's no answer. Because it just randomly happens
Dice rolls are all 50/50 (in a 2 team decision). 71/29 odds mean nothing in an individual "1 time" decision. If a total of 2 teams are high or very high, 1 team will win the recruit, 1 team won't. 50/50. Period. (Now if you and that same coach battled for that same player every season, with the same amount of effort, i would feel more comfy about the 71/29 odds playing out that way over time. But in this game, you battle a coach for a player, you win or lose, and everything resets and we repeat the process again and again. Odds are window dressing. In my experience, if i get the 29% part of the odds, i feel just as confident that i can/will sign the player, as i would if i had the 71% part of the odds).
That is all. Now let the arguing begin!
I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.
Haha. Damn, i thought i'd get at least 2 or 3 points from you!
all kidding aside, i truly feel this way. And all my success has came in the past 6 months. So I'm seeing all these situations arise. You and i apparently see the game much differently which is fine. You've **** on my posts in the past also. But I'm doing something right, right now. And i've lost more battles while leading than i have when trailing. And I'm a very good recruiter in my opinion. I'm also not the only coach that claims to lose more rolls when leading. So for me, if i'm in range, i'm cool with it. If i'm the 80/20 leader, by no means am i confident that I'll sign him. And you shouldn't be either
edit.... i did exaggerate on one thing i should be more clear about. "71/29 odds mean nothing". That's a stretch for me to say "nothing". Sure, one team has a higher chance. But my point was to say that the lower team wins an awful lot of times. In my experience, and the word of other coaches, for every 1 coach that comments and says "man i've won like 5 rolls in a row being the leader", there is 10 other coaches lined up to say they've lost 5 in a row while leading and how ****** they are. So to be a little more clear, YES there is value in being the 71/29 leader. But in my opinion, it's no where ever close to a situation where you'll win the recruit 7 out of 10 times. This game favors the underdog too often in recruiting
i also apologize to bobby2c for dragging this thread off topic. Back to the Division differences.
5/31/2019 2:10 PM (edited)