I set the over/under of each team based on the owner's wins per season over the last 16 seasons. I round to the nearest .5 (So if you have averaged 44.6 wins, then the over/under is 44.5). I go to the nearest .5 so that there can be no pushes. Only for owners who have an exact number for their average wins will I keep it at a whole number. For the new owners to the ODL, I averaged the win totals from the fourteen owners in my records who have only played 1 season.
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Champions
Season 72: benhoidal (25)
Season 71: jcred5 (19)
Season 70: benhoidal (23)
Season 69: robusk (19)
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Copy and paste the below table and fill in your over/unders. Include up to six locks for extra points.
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Scoring system:
1 point for each correct answer
1 extra point for each correct lock
1 negative point for each incorrect lock
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Tie Breaker: Number of correct picks
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Each owner can have up to six locks (1/4 of the picks). If there are more than six locks on a list, I will only count the first six.
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Owner		Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone		29
24kpyrite		44.5
bds9992		35.5
benhoidal		51.5
cjok1051		39.5
copernicus		41.5
dBKC		40.5
dh555		46.5
gerryred		42
isacqbs58		23
jackedjamie		39
jcred5		44.5
jhsukow		37.5
Midge		42.5
mikee1		38.5
mptrey		44.7
NotoriousJ		41.5
pharrop		45.5
redbooda		14
robusk		51.5
sappy		36.5
tarheel1991		45.5
tau1624		48.5
ysw128		41.5

benhoidal	51.5	U
robusk	51.5	U
tau1624	48.5	O
dh555	46.5	O	X
pharrop	45.5	O
tarheel1991	45.5	O
mptrey	44.5	O
24kpyrite	44.5	U
jcred5	44.5	U	X
Midge	42.5	O
gerryred	42	U
copernicus	41.5	O
NotoriousJ	41.5	O
ysw128	41.5	U
dBKC	40.5	O
cjok1051	39.5	U
jackedjamie	39	U
mikee1	38.5	U
jhsukow	37.5	U
sappy	36.5	O	X
bds9992	35.5	U
6theluckyone	29	O	X
isacqbs58	23	O	X
redbooda	14	O	X

Owner		Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone		29		O
24kpyrite		44.5		U
bds9992		35.5		U
benhoidal		51.5		U
cjok1051		39.5		O	X
copernicus		41.5		U
dBKC		40.5		O
dh555		46.5		U
gerryred		42		U
isacqbs58		23		O	X
jackedjamie		39		U
jcred5		44.5		O
jhsukow		37.5		U
Midge		42.5		O
mikee1		38.5		O
mptrey		44.7		U
NotoriousJ		41.5		O
pharrop		45.5		U
redbooda		14		O	X
robusk		51.5		U
sappy		36.5		U
tarheel1991		45.5		U
tau1624		48.5		U
ysw128		41.5 O

Owner		Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone		29		O	X
24kpyrite		44.5		O
bds9992		35.5		U
benhoidal		51.5		O
cjok1051		39.5		O
copernicus		41.5		U
dBKC		40.5		O
dh555		46.5		O
gerryred		42		O
isacqbs58		23		U
jackedjamie		39		U
jcred5		44.5		U	X
jhsukow		37.5		O
Midge		42.5		O
mikee1		38.5		O
mptrey		44.7		O
NotoriousJ		41.5		U
pharrop		45.5		U
redbooda		14		O	X
robusk		51.5		U
sappy		36.5		O
tarheel1991		45.5		U	X
tau1624		48.5		O	X
ysw128		41.5		U	X

Owner	Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone	29		O	X
24kpyrite	44.5		U
bds9992	35.5		U
benhoidal	51.5		U
cjok1051	39.5		U	X
copernicus	41.5		U
dBKC	40.5		U	X
dh555	46.5		U
gerryred	42		O
isacqbs58	23		O	X
jackedjamie	39		O	X
jcred5	44.5		O	X
jhsukow	37.5		U
Midge	42.5		O
mikee1	38.5		O	X
mptrey	44.7		O
NotoriousJ	41.5		O	X
pharrop	45.5		O
redbooda	14		O
robusk	51.5		O	X
sappy	36.5		O
tarheel1991	45.5		U
tau1624	48.5		U	X
ysw128	41.5		U	X

Yikes, 3 of 4 so far picking me under

Posted by jackedjamie on 7/3/2019 6:46:00 AM (view original):
Yikes, 3 of 4 so far picking me under

Meh. 3/4 picked me for the under and 4/4 picked ben for the under. I wouldn't sweat that too much. It wouldn't be an indicator one way or the other. Where you were rostered in the division draft is maybe a better indicator.

That being said, I can't make the math work for your team which might mean you are going with the wrong seasons for your players. Perhaps that is what has people worried.

Wrong math...uh oh lol...i was studying the usage numbers...i hope i read it right lol

Oh, but how would they know which seasons i picked at this time?

Posted by jackedjamie on 7/3/2019 5:02:00 PM (view original):
Oh, but how would they know which seasons i picked at this time?

They don't. It's all assumptions. But for some players, there is generally a consensus about which seasons are the "right" seasons and which are the "wrong" seasons.

Fingers crossed!

Owner		Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone		29		O
24kpyrite		44.5		O
bds9992		35.5		O
benhoidal		51.5		U
cjok1051		39.5		U
copernicus		41.5		U
dBKC		40.5		U
dh555		46.5		O
gerryred		42		O
isacqbs58		23		O
jackedjamie		39		U	X
jcred5		44.5		U
jhsukow		37.5		U
Midge		42.5		U
mikee1		38.5		O	X
mptrey		44.7		U
NotoriousJ		41.5		U
pharrop		45.5		U
redbooda		14		O	X
robusk		51.5		U
sappy		36.5		U
tarheel1991		45.5		U	X
tau1624		48.5		O
ysw128		41.5		O

Owner		Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone		29		O	X
24kpyrite		44.5		U
bds9992		35.5		O
benhoidal		51.5		O
cjok1051		39.5		O	X
copernicus		41.5		O
dBKC		40.5		O
dh555		46.5		U	X
gerryred		42		U
isacqbs58		23		O
jackedjamie		39		O
jcred5		44.5		O
jhsukow		37.5		O
Midge		42.5		U	X
mikee1		38.5		U	X
mptrey		44.7		O
NotoriousJ		41.5		U
pharrop		45.5		U
redbooda		14		O	X
robusk		51.5		O
sappy		36.5		O
tarheel1991		45.5		U
tau1624		48.5		O
ysw128		41.5		U

Owner		Over/Under		Bet	Lock?
6theluckyone		29		O
24kpyrite		44.5		U
bds9992		35.5		O
benhoidal		51.5		O
cjok1051		39.5		U
copernicus		41.5		O
dBKC		40.5		O	x
dh555		46.5		O
gerryred		42		O
isacqbs58		23		U
jackedjamie		39		O
jcred5		44.5		O	x
jhsukow		37.5		O
Midge		42.5		U
mikee1		38.5		U
mptrey		44.7		U
NotoriousJ		41.5		O	x
pharrop		45.5		O
redbooda		14		O
robusk		51.5		U
sappy		36.5		O	x
tarheel1991		45.5		O
tau1624		48.5		O
ysw128		41.5		U x

I messed up the table someone but am trying to make ysw a lock

Owner	Over/Under	Bet	Lock?
24kpyrite	44.5	U
6theluckyone	29	O
bds9992	35.5	U
benhoidal	51.5	O
cjok1051	39.5	O
copernicus	41.5	U
dBKC	40.5	O	X
dh555	46.5	U	X
gerryred	42	U
isacqbs58	23	O
jackedjamie	39	U
jcred5	44.5	U	X
jhsukow	37.5	O
Midge	42.5	U	X
mikee1	38.5	U	X
mptrey	44.7	O
NotoriousJ	41.5	U	X
pharrop	45.5	U
redbooda	14	O
robusk	51.5	O
sappy	36.5	O
tarheel1991	45.5	O
tau1624	48.5	O
ysw128	41.5	U