Posted by bad_luck on 8/27/2019 12:01:00 PM (view original):
Posted by laramiebob on 8/27/2019 11:27:00 AM (view original):
I take no issues with the labels as you have termed it. Nor do I really care about labels. Liberal is NOT a dirty word to this Independent.
IF the only real progressives are Warren and Sanders and either of them win the dem. nomination you are ensuring Trump's re-election. The heartland will NOT vote for a shrill Progressive, NOR a Socialist Democrat. You might win the popular vote (again) but you will LOSE the Electoral college.
The BIGGEST question of the 2020 election is whether or NOT the dems. learned anything at all from the HRC defeat. Obviously BC learned nothing.
CCCP wants to pretend like he'd vote for Gabbard. He wouldn't. Neither would all the other 8chan retards. There's a reason they (and Trump) are pushing for her to get the Nomination.
And you want to pretend that a Sanders-supporting, progressive, Hindu from Hawaii is the key to white, working-class voters in Pennsylvania and Michigan. That's nuts.
The mistake of 2016 was the DOJ not going public with the Trump investigation while going public with the Clinton investigation. That was probably enough to tilt the tiny margin of victory in PA, MI, and WI to Trump and give him the presidency. If you're afraid of an unelectable candidate getting the nomination, you should not be supporting Gabbard.
TY for an actual legitimate response!
Take a look at the electoral college results for 2016.
Trump won by garnering 306 votes. 2 Texas electoral voters refused to cast their votes for him so he actually ended up winning with 304 Electoral College votes.
Eliminating Pennsylvania (which Trump won and got 20 electoral college votes) for this argument. (Even though I believe, and most agree, that Pennsylvania is a "purple" state for 2020 with nearly any dem. candidate. (excepting Sanders and Warren, who may be too far left in Penn.)
Even Biden puts Pennsylvania squarely Purple for 2020. But forget that, for this moment.
Michigan has 16 electoral votes. Trump won them in 2016.
I believe ANY Dem. candidate beats Trump in 2020. Effectively Trump has already lost Michigan I'm quite confidant. UNLESS, the dems run Warren or Sanders!
Now, Minnesota. Minnesota is squarely purple with anyone and likely BLUE with anyone but Sanders/Warren. Gabbard definitely makes Minnesota winnable! Trump won Minnesota in 2016---- 10 electoral votes.
Last state. Wisconsin. Unless the dems run Sanders or Warren, Wisconsin is definitely Purple for 2020 and with Gabbard I think it's Blue! Trump got Wisconsin's 10 electoral votes in 2016)
Do the Math!
306 less 36 (16 +10 + 10) equals 270!
There was 1 congressional district (in Maine I think) that went Trump and whose electoral college voter cast the ballot for Trump.
I'd bet Gabbard can win that district.
In addition, there are a number of other states that were extremely close and a myriad of combinations of state vote results (in 2020) that could result in a Dem. candidate compiling 270 electoral college votes vs. Trump.
IF it's a GOOD candidate. IF it's a Sanders or a Warren at the top of the ticket every ONE of those states that could be in play (that lay within the heartland) go Rep.
Every one of them! The margin for ANY dem. candidate in that scenario is very very slim IN THE ELECTORAL College!
Only a candidate like Tulsi even has a chance in that slim scenario. Sanders or Warren lose to Trump, even IF they win the popular vote.
Democrat voters need to wake up. Supporting hand outs and socialist appearing "programs" are NOT gonna win.
Besides, I don't get why some claim Warren is a likeable Sanders. Really??? Sanders has some likeable moments. And I'm sure Warren must be nice in reality, but the term that MOST comes to mind with Warren is shrill or whiny.
Tulsi 2020