Posted by crabman26 on 11/14/2019 5:36:00 PM (view original):
Posted by gillispie1 on 11/14/2019 12:44:00 PM (view original):
fair comment by crabman. on one hand being 12 deep with exceptional players, its a total waste in zone (for that one season only), you are negligibly better than the same top 10 with 2 walkons, and only slightly better than a strong top 8 with 2 ok freshman and 2 walkons *if and only if you coach them optimally*, which is a totally different situation than the press - so obviously the general principle of needing less is true. however, your 6-8 men still matter a lot, and other bench players too - if not for this year, then for next or the one after that. if you run 4 walkons every year, those 6-8 guys are likely young and not that great and it hurts you, so while 4 walkons is tolerable from time to time, its not a recipe for sustained championship shots.
these differences in schemes are very important in my book, but a lot of folks do take it too far. you can win in zone with fewer stars, and less bench, there's no question - but it does get taken too far in some cases.
part of what crabman is seeing is people failing to set up their rotations right for a shorter team, which is a huge thing - its probably one of the general areas of coaching the overall community isn't very good at, i see tons of coaches who are good running a straight 10 man rotation, but struggle otherwise - and this is at all levels of play, even in the highest levels of coaching - and you only get the benefit of zone's tolerance for having 8 great players if you do the coaching part to enable that.
I agree with everything for the most part, the part Im not sure of is the 8 great players you speak of.
Once you get to the sweet 16 and beyond, every team has a killer starting 5, so whats your edge going to be? If your edge is only having 3 viable bench options compared to a team that has 5 viable bench options....Im taking the other team all day assuming they run the correct tempo (not slowdown) to counter that bench difference.
well, two things. first, when a bunch of teams have high end starters and quality composition, i certainly agree that depth becomes a prime area for differentiation. this is why zone struggles to compete at the highest levels of play. with similar quality of coaching, limiting to high end coaches and top 5 talent, i think zone is substantially disadvantaged. i don't think it is even theoretically possible to build zone teams as likely to win titles as the best press teams out there.
that said, i am going to push back on the every s16 team has a killer starting 5 bit - actually, its not so much that those teams don't have 5 very good players, its that exceedingly few make the most of that level of talent. the ceiling of the impact of composition and coaching is vastly understated in the collective consciousness. its not that some sweet 16 teams have substantial defects; rather, they all do. plenty of them have 5 great players, but virtually 0 leave less than substantial room for improvement over their core rotation.
zone doesn't magically lead to better composition - but i think it makes excellent composition more accessible - and that has to be the goal. the primary differentiator of top teams is not talent, and has never been in my time - its always team construction/synergy, both in terms of the players themselves and the team setup. its hard to capture, so i'll throw out a figure - if you take the average top 5 team in a world, within the set coached by high end coaches, an equally talented but optimally arranged team would be at least an 80/20 favorite, and quite possibly 90/10. so, for zone coaches, its not that their top 5 have to be better (well, a bit, but this isn't the main advantage) - its that they have to be able to do more with those 5, because they were able to be a little choosier and riskier going after those top 5. tons of s16 teams, for example, have a great back court or front court, but not both - the zone team must have both.
i actually think the best zone teams have a good depth of players - they just don't play them all. their bench players should be sophs and juniors who are ready for prime time - there's a lot more room for improvement strictly on talent there, than in the top few players. they should mostly be running 8 or so players for 95% of their minutes, but the best zone teams will have a couple solid backups playing none - so that when those players do get a backup role, they are REALLY good backups. the 4 walkon thing is really tolerable only for a season, not over the long haul - if you do it over the long haul, it means you are playing freshman and sophmores in too prominent of roles. i mean - its a fine strategy for like, low d1, building up a program, whatever - but its not a title strategy.
11/14/2019 7:30 PM (edited)