Posted by kcsundevil on 4/10/2020 11:37:00 AM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 4/9/2020 11:52:00 PM (view original):
Posted by Sportsbulls on 4/9/2020 11:14:00 PM (view original):
Posted by kcsundevil on 4/9/2020 6:51:00 PM (view original):
It's interesting that you all think the HCA is this sophisticated.
My theory: The game has a correction factor that kicks in at halftime to reduce the likelihood of big upsets. I think that's the only place the HCA gets factored in.
I disagree a ton. I'll play teams who I see as even to me and consistently win at home and lose on the road. It's proven that HCA plays a factor.
I'm with Sports. I lose a lot of road games with my Illinois team in Wooden that I see has 60-40.
I'm pretty clearly saying the HCA is a factor. Bizarre you guys are claiming otherwise.
I just don't think it's factored in as part of the micro formula for every single possession. It's packaged in the macro formula that dictates the overall flow of the game. It still hits every possession, but not at the level of detail y'all think.
Some of you guys are coders. You know you write code so if it acts up, you can easily reach in and fix it. HCA doesn't have to be written into every single scenario tree, so I don't think WIS would do it that way.
i didn't respond earlier but i totally don't agree this exists - 'My theory: The game has a correction factor that kicks in at halftime to reduce the likelihood of big upsets. ' - that just isn't a thing
this game has feedback, but i don't think that is what you are talking about. also, the feedback mechanism has nothing to do with HCA, at least as far as we have been told - feedback was added many, many years after HCA, which is why i am pretty sure that at a minimum, feedback is not the primary source of HCA impact (not saying its impossible some aspect of feedback intersects with HCA in some way)
i also am not really sure what you are talking about when you say 'It's packaged in the macro formula that dictates the overall flow of the game' - can you be more specific as to what you are talking about there? that is an extremely general statement, struggling to relate that statement to anything concrete. especially when you say it hits every possession - after in your first post, you said it only factors in to the half time correction factor.
my take - nobody knows exactly in which areas HCA has an impact, but there are some fairly good guesses (fg%, TOs, etc). most likely, some, not all, of the formulas used to make decisions along the way in the flow of the game have some HCA impact, which means that some possessions there are probably several occasions in which HCA was a factor, and in other possessions, there might be none or one. i do think HCA was specifically worked in to several parts of the game, at least - and i don't think there is some macro level effect, which team gets the overall advantage type deal, aka upset factor (as it used to masquerade on the forums), that HCA is factored into (particularly because such a thing doesn't exist to start with)
4/10/2020 1:42 PM (edited)