Age	Thr	Overall	Dur	Hth	MkUp	Stam	Acc	vL	vR	Vel	Gb	1	2	3	4	5
A	18	L	81	22	100	91	100	98	89	59	40	57	80	81	74	73	54
B	18	R	87	36	76	96	95	95	71	78	40	75	97	65	72	73	21
C	20	L	86	33	85	98	87	89	98	71	93	39	90	74	45	41	0

I've got the #1 draft pick. Here are the 3 top candidates IMO.
I'm looking for the guy who could turn into a true #1 pitcher, got plenty of #2's and #3's.

Concerns about projected ratings:
Player A - 59 rating vR a big concern ; 22 durability (so never a 3 start guy in a 7 game playoff series).
Player B - nothing overly concerning, just seems 2nd best at everything, vL & vR weak for a #1 starter
Player C - 20yo (so lack of upside development), pitches 3/4 are weak (Player A & B are 4 pitch pitchers), if pitch scout rating for #2 pitch is wrong - uh oh, then this guy not a #1 pick

Benefits about projected ratings:
Player A - 4 pitch pitcher, though Pitch 1 low.
Player B - 4 pitch pitcher (weaker than Player A though), 36 durability makes him a 3 start candidate in 7 game series.
Player C - 33 durability, best vL & vR rating of trio

Please comment on who you would select, or who you would avoid, or both, and why. Thanks.

B is the best of the 3 in my opinion, but I personally don't see any of them as true #1's. That 59 vsR for #1 would scare the hell out me as guys typically don't hit their projected ratings anyways. Are there any stud hitters in the draft?

B-- but what's your college and HS scouting budget?

Posted by dedelman on 4/17/2020 8:05:00 AM (view original):
B-- but what's your college and HS scouting budget?

College = 17
HS = 16

Yep. Based on those Dur/Sta projections, I question the scouting budgets. If they're less than $20 million, I'm guessing those projections are all very much on the high side.

Posted by psap on 4/17/2020 8:32:00 AM (view original):

Posted by dedelman on 4/17/2020 8:05:00 AM (view original):
B-- but what's your college and HS scouting budget?

College = 17
HS = 16

OK, not terrible, but again, your projections are likely all on the high side. If I'm rolling the dice on these three guys, and I do agree with your analysis in the first post, I'm going with Player B. But he's not a sure thing by any means with these budgets.

36/95 is a pretty crazy DUR/STA combo, but I can see the projections being off on that. I actually like #3 a good bit too since he would be elite against lefties. Ultimately I would consider your ballpark. If you're hitters ballpark, maybe #2 is the best option. If not, #3 might be my choice.

Also side note: - What definition of #1 are we talking here? This has always been an interesting point to me when talking about the MLB. #1's were coined when the league had half the amount of teams, so I feel like most people mean a SP who's one of the best 16 or so in the league. I could see an argument that maybe #2/3 in the example above don't fit that. Technically speaking though, a #1 would mean a top 32 Starting Pitcher, which I would absolutely see #2/#3 and potentially even #1. And I would argue some people even really mean like top 5/10 pitcher when they say #1 too.

Posted by pray4pro on 4/17/2020 10:21:00 AM (view original):
36/95 is a pretty crazy DUR/STA combo, but I can see the projections being off on that. I actually like #3 a good bit too since he would be elite against lefties. Ultimately I would consider your ballpark. If you're hitters ballpark, maybe #2 is the best option. If not, #3 might be my choice.

Also side note: - What definition of #1 are we talking here? This has always been an interesting point to me when talking about the MLB. #1's were coined when the league had half the amount of teams, so I feel like most people mean a SP who's one of the best 16 or so in the league. I could see an argument that maybe #2/3 in the example above don't fit that. Technically speaking though, a #1 would mean a top 32 Starting Pitcher, which I would absolutely see #2/#3 and potentially even #1. And I would argue some people even really mean like top 5/10 pitcher when they say #1 too.

In HBD my definition of a #1 is the staff ace who ideally is Top 10 in the league, or has Top 10 tools and most importantly can take the ball 5-6 times across two 7 game series.

Yeah, I think you've got the right idea. You're talking about a guy who wins playoff games. It's like starting QBs, you either have one or you don't.

I am going with the consensus here. Those left handed starters lure out all the R handed hitters anyway.

#2 all the way.