- DI Big 6
- B+ prestige
- Man Defense

What is the minimum speed you'll settle for in bigs?

I'm considering a recruit. Here's how he projects out:

Athleticism: 80
Speed: 13
Rebounding: 100
Defense: 100
Shot Blocking: 94
LP: 100
Stamina: 72
FT: B-

He's an absolute stud, but he's so slow. Would that speed scare you away from someone like this?
5/8/2020 6:04 PM
Nope
5/8/2020 6:48 PM
Nope
5/8/2020 6:56 PM
Nope
5/8/2020 11:01 PM
Nah
5/9/2020 3:52 AM
Nope
5/9/2020 1:35 PM
Nope
5/9/2020 2:27 PM
No. Probably even better for you because if he had 40 speed no way in hell you would land him. That being said, 40 speed is a vastly better player but this guy is still great. How are BH/Pass?

Low BH is really damning (moreso than speed) because idiots like William Cipolla rack up like 6 per game.
7.0.1
5/9/2020 3:33 PM
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/9/2020 3:33:00 PM (view original):
No. Probably even better for you because if he had 40 speed no way in hell you would land him. That being said, 40 speed is a vastly better player but this guy is still great. How are BH/Pass?

Low BH is really damning (moreso than speed) because idiots like William Cipolla rack up like 6 per game.
7.0.1
Projected 38 BH and 42 PA.

I ended up going after him. I just couldn't pass up all those 90+ ratings.
5/9/2020 10:07 PM
Posted by pallas on 5/9/2020 10:07:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/9/2020 3:33:00 PM (view original):
No. Probably even better for you because if he had 40 speed no way in hell you would land him. That being said, 40 speed is a vastly better player but this guy is still great. How are BH/Pass?

Low BH is really damning (moreso than speed) because idiots like William Cipolla rack up like 6 per game.
7.0.1
Projected 38 BH and 42 PA.

I ended up going after him. I just couldn't pass up all those 90+ ratings.
honestly, the unlisted per is more important than his bh, pass, or spd. you'd be crazy on a b+ not to go for that guy - i'd go for a guy like than on an a+ (except for his stamina, as i typically press). a m2m big with 95 ath/reb/def, 80 sb and 90 sta, with 1 lp, 1 per, 1 bh, 1 pass, 1 spd - is still an amazing player. those players can start on title teams without dragging the team down at all (you have to have sufficient offense elsewhere to make this true). its not really that spd/per/bh/pass are useless - its that a strong 2 strength big, defensive skills and reb skills - is still a VERY good player. i like to have at least half of my bigs of the scoring type, where lp is quite important, and per is also pretty important, with modest importance for spd/bh/pass. really, in d2/d3, top tier bigs even of the scoring variety can get by just fine with 1 spd/per/bh/pass. but in d1 where the defenses are so incredible, those other ratings - especially per - can definitely help your bigs offensively.
5/10/2020 12:49 AM
Posted by gillispie1 on 5/10/2020 12:49:00 AM (view original):
Posted by pallas on 5/9/2020 10:07:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/9/2020 3:33:00 PM (view original):
No. Probably even better for you because if he had 40 speed no way in hell you would land him. That being said, 40 speed is a vastly better player but this guy is still great. How are BH/Pass?

Low BH is really damning (moreso than speed) because idiots like William Cipolla rack up like 6 per game.
7.0.1
Projected 38 BH and 42 PA.

I ended up going after him. I just couldn't pass up all those 90+ ratings.
honestly, the unlisted per is more important than his bh, pass, or spd. you'd be crazy on a b+ not to go for that guy - i'd go for a guy like than on an a+ (except for his stamina, as i typically press). a m2m big with 95 ath/reb/def, 80 sb and 90 sta, with 1 lp, 1 per, 1 bh, 1 pass, 1 spd - is still an amazing player. those players can start on title teams without dragging the team down at all (you have to have sufficient offense elsewhere to make this true). its not really that spd/per/bh/pass are useless - its that a strong 2 strength big, defensive skills and reb skills - is still a VERY good player. i like to have at least half of my bigs of the scoring type, where lp is quite important, and per is also pretty important, with modest importance for spd/bh/pass. really, in d2/d3, top tier bigs even of the scoring variety can get by just fine with 1 spd/per/bh/pass. but in d1 where the defenses are so incredible, those other ratings - especially per - can definitely help your bigs offensively.
Agreed you can have great bigs without scoring. But imagine how good Church would be with 40/40 bh-pa.

Right now he is shooting 56.5% yet is still only scoring .967 PPPU.
5/10/2020 1:25 PM
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/10/2020 1:25:00 PM (view original):
Posted by gillispie1 on 5/10/2020 12:49:00 AM (view original):
Posted by pallas on 5/9/2020 10:07:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/9/2020 3:33:00 PM (view original):
No. Probably even better for you because if he had 40 speed no way in hell you would land him. That being said, 40 speed is a vastly better player but this guy is still great. How are BH/Pass?

Low BH is really damning (moreso than speed) because idiots like William Cipolla rack up like 6 per game.
7.0.1
Projected 38 BH and 42 PA.

I ended up going after him. I just couldn't pass up all those 90+ ratings.
honestly, the unlisted per is more important than his bh, pass, or spd. you'd be crazy on a b+ not to go for that guy - i'd go for a guy like than on an a+ (except for his stamina, as i typically press). a m2m big with 95 ath/reb/def, 80 sb and 90 sta, with 1 lp, 1 per, 1 bh, 1 pass, 1 spd - is still an amazing player. those players can start on title teams without dragging the team down at all (you have to have sufficient offense elsewhere to make this true). its not really that spd/per/bh/pass are useless - its that a strong 2 strength big, defensive skills and reb skills - is still a VERY good player. i like to have at least half of my bigs of the scoring type, where lp is quite important, and per is also pretty important, with modest importance for spd/bh/pass. really, in d2/d3, top tier bigs even of the scoring variety can get by just fine with 1 spd/per/bh/pass. but in d1 where the defenses are so incredible, those other ratings - especially per - can definitely help your bigs offensively.
Agreed you can have great bigs without scoring. But imagine how good Church would be with 40/40 bh-pa.

Right now he is shooting 56.5% yet is still only scoring .967 PPPU.
this is a great challenge and i'm kind of excited i get to respond to it. for the folks watching - pay attention - this is an important one. but first, question - what is PPPU?
5/10/2020 2:02 PM
Posted by gillispie1 on 5/10/2020 2:02:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/10/2020 1:25:00 PM (view original):
Posted by gillispie1 on 5/10/2020 12:49:00 AM (view original):
Posted by pallas on 5/9/2020 10:07:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/9/2020 3:33:00 PM (view original):
No. Probably even better for you because if he had 40 speed no way in hell you would land him. That being said, 40 speed is a vastly better player but this guy is still great. How are BH/Pass?

Low BH is really damning (moreso than speed) because idiots like William Cipolla rack up like 6 per game.
7.0.1
Projected 38 BH and 42 PA.

I ended up going after him. I just couldn't pass up all those 90+ ratings.
honestly, the unlisted per is more important than his bh, pass, or spd. you'd be crazy on a b+ not to go for that guy - i'd go for a guy like than on an a+ (except for his stamina, as i typically press). a m2m big with 95 ath/reb/def, 80 sb and 90 sta, with 1 lp, 1 per, 1 bh, 1 pass, 1 spd - is still an amazing player. those players can start on title teams without dragging the team down at all (you have to have sufficient offense elsewhere to make this true). its not really that spd/per/bh/pass are useless - its that a strong 2 strength big, defensive skills and reb skills - is still a VERY good player. i like to have at least half of my bigs of the scoring type, where lp is quite important, and per is also pretty important, with modest importance for spd/bh/pass. really, in d2/d3, top tier bigs even of the scoring variety can get by just fine with 1 spd/per/bh/pass. but in d1 where the defenses are so incredible, those other ratings - especially per - can definitely help your bigs offensively.
Agreed you can have great bigs without scoring. But imagine how good Church would be with 40/40 bh-pa.

Right now he is shooting 56.5% yet is still only scoring .967 PPPU.
this is a great challenge and i'm kind of excited i get to respond to it. for the folks watching - pay attention - this is an important one. but first, question - what is PPPU?
Points per Possesions Used. It's like true shooting but even better.

Pts/(FGA+.45*FTA+TO)

I can't wait for your response ;)
5/10/2020 2:29 PM
alright, so here it goes: if i imagine church with 40/40 bh/pass, he is slightly better - a couple tenths of a turnover at least, perhaps a half at most. before anyone rushes to show me a similar PPG / MPG big with 40bh/pass and more than 0.5 fewer TOs - let me stop you - it is irrelevant.

quick thought experiment for any reader - WHY is church's TO rate so high? there are, of course, a number of factors. in this case, several significant ones. follow up - of all the reasons church's TOs rate is so high - do you think his bh/pass is a majority or minority contributor to the total?

you can probably guess this by now - but if you said his bh/pass is the majority explanation, you'd be in the majority of coaches, but you'd also be wrong.

let's step back a second, and take a look at oklahoma state. they are a solid team, but definitely not a great one. they are playing a 31 SOS with about 1/3rd sims but a relatively solid slate of humans. again, not a great schedule (in terms of difficulty), but one roughly in line with their caliber of team.

let's look at their team bh/pass/iq wise. for their starters - pg is excellent. sg is excellent. SF is mediocre, very low iq with solid ratings. PF (church) - crap bh/pass. square - crap bh/pass. of their 5 starters, 3 are primary scorers - the pg, pf, and c.

now, numerous turnovers are 'team turnovers' that are going to be assigned to the team in a way that 'makes the stats look good'. these team turnovers are based on the collective ratings of the team and the opposing defense, the type of offense and defense, and all kinds of stuff. how are these turnovers normally distributed? primary, to the guards. however, due to the situation with this starting lineup, that is not the case.

on the starting line, normally, a lot of the TOs would be going to the 2 and 3 - but neither of them shoots much - so the game is looking for someone else to assign to. the PG is scoring a lot, so he'd be the likely suspect - but he also is 1) straight up elite for A+ title favorite teams, in terms of his TO prevention, and 2) he shoots a lot, which lowers assists and turnover stats (the game lowers assists for high scoring pgs, as TJ correctly pointed out a couple days ago in a similar thread - but to avoid insane assist:to ratios, they also lower TOs).

so, who does that leave? if the game is actively moving TOs away from the 1, 2, and 3 - who is left? the 4 and 5. the 4 and 5 also have bh/pass numbers so the team TOs are getting assigned to them an outsized rate, given the reality that the team TO generation *primarily*, from an offensive standpoint, turns on the bh/pass ratings from the 1-3.

meanwhile - if your theory is that these guys are taking a lot of TOs because they suck and this is hurting the team - i point to you to the 12 TOs per game given up by the cowboys (did i get that right? probably not - i first wrote 'hokies' before quickly realizing that was definitely wrong - but i'm gonna stick with the cowboys).

if these two bigs and their 4.1 TOs were really hurting the team, if having 2 high end scorers with garbage bh/pass at the 4-5 really hurt teams - then why is OK state putting up a very respectable 12 TOs per game?

the short answer is, they are not. so in summary:
1) turnovers, like so many stats, have a major part of their existence which comes from 'team' actions, in this case, team turnovers - and those turnovers are distributed in a way that the game feels is appropriate to make the stats look good. this isn't the ONLY consideration, but its a major one - and that makes individual stats like, well just about everything but scoring, significantly deviate from the players' actual contributions to the team turnovers, which are real. in turnovers, this effect is very significant. in other areas its more modest, like fouls drawn. thus - you simply *cannot* look at individual player stats in a vacuum - and doing so is one of the #1 causes of misconceptions by the coaching community at large.

2) ok st is doing really quite well on TOs, despite 2 of their main scorers being bigs with awful bh/pass. this demonstrates those bigs aren't really hurting the team as much as they just have a ton of TOs assigned to them.

3) the reason this specific case is particularly skewed is because the 1, 2, and 3 are all actively having TOs assigned away from them in favor of other players, while the 4 and 5 are having TOs assigned towards them. the reasons for this are higher scoring and elite bh/pass/iq at the 1, lower scoring and elite bh/pass/iq at the 2, very low scoring at the 3, and high scoring plus crap bh/pass at the 4 and 5.
5/10/2020 3:48 PM
sorry, i had to stop half way through and come back... hopefully i maintained continuity.

this is one of the most advanced topics in this game, the way that team stats skew individual stats. how to deal with the reality that just about every freaking stat we look at for a player is meaningfully skewed from their actual contributions, is one of the games' greatest challenges. its almost an 'everything you know is wrong' moment, when you have a great understanding of this game, and you realize this is a barrier you must knock down if you hope to transcend what other great coaches can accomplish.

that said, this is something i struggled with myself mightily, for years. if you are a guy reading this with 5, 10, 20 titles and being like... wtf is he talking about - that is a quite appropriate reaction. i thought i understood how this game worked - heck i was already 'in the pantheon' when i realized how crazy this all was, and my 'everything you know is wrong' feeling lasted years. it was like, my crisis of faith, lol. honestly, it continues to this day, i still find myself in situations where im like, wait a second, do i really know this or is the 'clear evidence' from all these individual stats just pure garbage?

so - i would definitely encourage the curious, the skeptical, the whatever - who are sort of getting this but not really - to talk it out. i don't have all the answers, but i can at least help some.

i touch on this quite often in random threads but i get the impression it doesn't come across well, that the gravity of it is not really getting through. i think its because basically player stats are just so fundamental to how we view this game, to how we make it feel comfortable, a known quantity. so for just about all of us, if we try to think 'how do i make sense of this game if i ignore player stats', the answer is unthinkable. its so foreign, so uncomfortable, i think most people who even get far enough to realize this reality, just ignore it because they don't know what else to do. i've been there myself. and to be honest, i still grapple with it to this day. its super freaking hard to come to terms with it, and even harder to figure out what to do about it!
5/10/2020 4:16 PM (edited)
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