Posted by cubcub113 on 6/6/2020 1:21:00 PM (view original):
Posted by indiansrck27 on 6/5/2020 11:33:00 PM (view original):
Are you sure in all these cases these people were “all in”?
Honestly sounds more like they just didn’t put as much effort as you think they did.
I doubt teams are putting something in the range of 15-19 HVs and 1 CV on a guy. Just wouldn't really make sense. Could have happened once but I doubt 4 times.
@Gil right now at Illinois it took me 48 AP to unlock a ship for a guy with neutral preferences and 35 AP to unlock a ship on a guy I had 5 VGs on and 1 G on.
At my peak it was 42 for a guy I had 1 VG on and 33 for a guy I had 3 VGs and 1 G on. Pretty different. Looks like 43-44 AP as the base instead of 48 or something which is about 9-11% effort.... which is how many letter grades? 1 or 1.5?
7.0.3
I've heard you say that you rarely give 1-19 visits. I do understand your point behind this. But a few things to say....
1) that can't be true as often as you say. Let's say you have enough to go all in on two players this time around (based on your amount of openings). After doing so, I'm sure have a random amount of money left to offer 1, 7, or 12 HV to a third player. Whatever the remaining budget allows. That's not all in. I'm sure you'll use it at that point on an additional target if needed. Which kinda leads me to point #2
2) not everyone recruits the same. In the land of dice rolls, who's to say it's not better to go 15 HV on 3 rolls? Rather than 20 HV on 2 rolls. I'm not arguing for OR against it myself. I'm just getting to D1 so I don't have experience there we'll say. But I can tell you that I'll definitely consider trying it that way. I'm currently in the middle of a "WELL documented across the site" 1-for-17 roll losing streak. I lost 10, won 1, have lost 6 more. So for me, I want as many rolls as I can get! (And I don't mean a trailing 20/80 situation roll. A roll with intent to win). And I'm SURE I'm not the only person to ever think of this as a possibility/idea/strategy. Especially with odds being stretched. A "real" 20/80 roll would be something like 4 HV to 16 HV if all other factors were equal. But in HD, 4 HV doesn't get you in the roll at all against 16 HV. Even if it was a 100% fact that doing 20 HV every single time you can is the best strategy, I still feel like not everyone would do it. There's just so many coaches that play many different ways. And not everyone plays the way that you (or i) see as "the best way".
Just rambling.....
One more thing, I'm 0-3 in D1 rolls so far. One of them was for a 5* that's 20 miles away from home, I led on him from day one, as the only team that offered and ever moved above very low. Continued to pump AP (other schools could've been pumping AP as well. But it didn't "appear" that way). Late signer. For 21 cycles I led. Cycle 22, the last of RS1, a better school offered, but only moved up to low. When RS2 begins, the better school drops the bomb, and the recruit signs with him immediately and he's gone. I led 60/40.
Hindsight, why not go 16 HV next time? Leaving myself money for a back up. Maybe I lose the roll while trailing 40/60 instead. Either way, I'd have a solid shot at the recruit.
6/6/2020 11:39 PM (edited)