Posted by gillispie1 on 7/29/2020 11:57:00 AM (view original):
Posted by buddhagamer on 7/28/2020 9:49:00 PM (view original):
Doing multiple consecutive title runs is more difficult in HD 3.0 @ D1 mainly due to the EE mechanics. No comparison on how much easier to replace EEs under HD 2.0 than it is now under HD 3.0 (never mind the randomness of dice rolls).
i agree with your point, but not necessarily the conclusion. it feels to me like there are two major things pushing the other way, the first being the much lower population, the second being how much crappier the average high end d1 team is. back in the day, you had a plethora of 850 overall teams, even though some were poorly crafted. how do you create separation? today with such less talented high d1 teams, there is a lot more room for separation.
so, i feel like that 1st and 2nd title in the run are markedly easier today. but the 3rd and up? i definitely get your EE point. i remember in the middle of the aforementioned 5peat, in my 3rd season (the critical one - i just came back for the 3peat - so i'd have lost the whole thing if i lost that middle season) - we had 5 EEs instead of the expected 2ish. that would be impossible to overcome today. although back then, it was still essentially miraculous. definitely part of the 3peat game is consistent excellence, but the other part is avoiding really bad rolls. the former seems a lot easier today, the latter a lot harder. where does that leave the overall effort? its debatable.
I just feel that in HD 2.0 when you had that 5 title run, other coaches would be crazy to battle Kansas for recruits so that instance where you did get 5 EEs, you were highly likely to come out of that with 5 quality recruits. Today, if you had 5 EEs, that implies you had almost *NO* resources to open up sufficient spots to replace those (and even if you did, you were likely at a HUGE disadvantage unless nobody fought you for the 1 opening you were trying to fill in RS1 (I have experienced trying to fill 4+ EEs with 1 opening and I can tell you it is not doable at all (at least not with high quality recruits).
EEs (and avoiding them) is paramount in HD3.0 in separating the pretenders from contenders which makes title runs very difficult to maintain over extended periods of time. HD 3.0 now has even non-Power 5 teams winning multiple D1 titles which was unheard of in HD2.0.
[Edit: As for D1 population, yes its way down but under HD 2.0, even if every single team was human coached, how many of those teams would be considered title contenders year in year out? Even if a coach like yourself went to a D+ baseline school in HD2.0, you would never likely compete for a title. Today, you would like be able to at least compete if not annually, at least some of the time making it more difficult for a single team to dominate the post season. See Vanderbuilt in Phelan where you/chap are co-coaching and competing every season now. Do you think you'd be able to do it similarly under HD 2.0?]
7/29/2020 1:44 PM (edited)