My 80-82 Y2K team just won 8 straight to win the WS. Never saw that coming. One more WS team left...

Pre Rank	Rank	Owner	80M	90M	110M	120M	140M	Var	Wins	Win%	Plyf	Bonus	Total
17	1	justinlee_24	96	98	93	92	91	103	573	0.590	6	27	600
8	2	schwarze	94	94	88	90	100	115	581	0.598	5	8	589
5	3	skunk206	92	90	95	93	101	96	567	0.583	4	20	587
58	4	06gsp	101	84	88	94	96	102	565	0.581	4	21	586
12	5	jfranco77	88	106	99	90	90	91	564	0.580	5	20	584
19	6	doctorcc	94	94	88	87	95	78	536	0.551	4	45	581
7	7	milest	97	99	87	82	80	105	550	0.566	3	30	580
10	8	mensu1954	99	90	88	86	93	106	562	0.578	4	17	579
4	9	ozomatli	90	89	84	94	102	100	559	0.575	5	19	578
41	9	ejstockman	85	80	92	89	95	100	541	0.557	5	37	578
1	11	brianjw	92	93	106	79	95	95	560	0.576	5	8	568
6	12	mjkrunner	89	102	86	97	88	91	553	0.569	3	13	566
27	13	wink0094	95	92	93	90	73	98	541	0.557	5	21	562
52	13	thehuseman	102	81	76	91	88	100	538	0.553	3	24	562
3	15	discodemo	82	90	104	93	86	91	546	0.562	4	13	559
38	15	tigerrott	98	83	94	87	89	94	545	0.561	4	14	559
31	17	pkearns	86	93	92	95	84	94	544	0.560	4	14	558
13	18	mildnhazy	79	84	87	90	98	96	534	0.549	4	23	557
14	19	dougpalm	68	94	86	86	89	103	526	0.541	5	30	556
47	20	d_rock97	91	87	89	86	91	93	537	0.552	4	18	555
61	21	Jtpsops	87	96	76	96	81	94	530	0.545	2	18	548
18	22	buddhagamer	87	91	86	87	84	93	528	0.543	3	18	546
23	22	PennQuaker	92	76	86	98	90	97	539	0.555	4	7	546
11	24	jbohrman	94	88	84	95	74	94	529	0.544	3	16	545
9	25	rbow923	87	72	79	88	100	105	531	0.546	2	11	542
34	25	marinerrott	84	81	109	85	82	89	530	0.545	2	12	542
43	25	NebHusker	94	89	79	90	89	78	519	0.534	5	23	542
51	25	besterateam	86	86	74	99	83	93	521	0.536	3	21	542
67	29	ballsweatsux	86	99	77	77	95	95	529	0.544	3	11	540
20	30	barracuda3	90	79	73	83	97	92	514	0.529	3	24	538
57	31	beauchamp	80	99	98	81	83	78	519	0.534	3	16	535
42	32	ledfoot	83	92	92	81	95	84	527	0.542	3	6	533
35	33	magicdreamer	96	85	74	88	97	82	522	0.537	3	9	531
15	34	hebdomad	93	89	79	93	88	81	523	0.538	5	7	530
62	35	jetscanes	87	87	68	91	98	92	523	0.538	3	5	528
36	36	mpitt76	97	93	75	77	80	90	512	0.527	2	13	525
45	36	Humdogs	98	96	89	99	80	57	519	0.534	3	6	525
50	38	teamhydro	94	89	81	88	80	82	514	0.529	2	7	521
26	39	redcped	80	88	89	94	82	76	509	0.524	2	9	518
2	40	wildthings1	80	84	93	76	87	86	506	0.520	2	11	517
40	40	cstrohmier	73	89	99	83	93	77	514	0.529	2	3	517
25	42	crystalao	83	92	79	86	86	89	515	0.530	3	1	516
54	43	dorkster	95	85	85	73	82	83	503	0.517	2	12	515
29	44	skinndogg	90	88	76	87	79	89	509	0.524	1	2	511
39	45	odalisgagne	93	84	87	86	88	68	506	0.521	2	4	510
71	46	bheid408	76	93	93	87	75	76	500	0.514	3	9	509
65	47	bottomlee	84	77	91	89	80	84	505	0.520	1	2	507
44	48	thunder1008	80	85	91	77	83	68	484	0.498	2	22	506
32	49	Fusion27s	77	93	85	88	78	78	499	0.513	1	2	501
28	50	newarkwilder	85	78	75	81	80	93	492	0.506	2	7	499
78	51	just4me	71	84	85	77	90	81	488	0.502	2	5	493
63	52	footballmm11	78	81	78	82	71	95	485	0.498	1	7	492
30	53	BigScungil	89	73	90	78	68	89	487	0.501	1	2	489
24	54	sford	93	77	86	86	79	59	480	0.494	1	6	486
48	55	mllama54	93	73	92	70	79	74	481	0.495	2	4	485
22	56	wetwillytwo	82	87	69	77	80	88	483	0.497	0	0	483
56	56	daddyzander	74	91	78	76	70	92	481	0.495	1	2	483
85	58	duhbigcat	80	78	71	99	74	70	472	0.486	2	9	481
73	59	mickr9	87	81	83	76	64	89	480	0.494	0	0	480
68	60	Chisock	76	78	88	71	79	79	471	0.485	1	7	478
72	60	chargingryno	86	97	73	79	69	70	474	0.488	1	4	478
46	62	calhoop	73	73	88	82	78	78	472	0.486	1	5	477
33	63	pfan	76	75	79	83	90	64	467	0.480	2	7	474
60	64	cubbies84	65	98	67	73	80	87	470	0.484	1	2	472
80	65	npg32433	81	82	78	78	72	80	471	0.485	0	0	471
53	66	Jdh34	88	63	74	80	87	77	469	0.483	0	0	469
81	67	thebubbaq	90	81	76	78	75	68	468	0.481	1	0	468
37	68	markeking	77	78	79	78	74	81	467	0.480	0	0	467
21	69	contrarian23	67	96	74	84	73	67	461	0.474	1	1	462
76	70	elvisgump	84	80	70	75	65	80	454	0.467	1	7	461
70	71	trd3	85	84	74	76	74	65	458	0.471	1	0	458
55	72	gorbyruss	60	68	97	73	72	81	451	0.464	2	6	457
84	73	midknight	71	87	82	69	74	72	455	0.468	0	0	455
86	74	big_dowg	77	77	69	76	75	79	453	0.466	0	0	453
92	75	MitchellBade	71	83	71	69	74	83	451	0.464	0	0	451
77	76	nordawg	76	72	73	87	82	60	450	0.463	0	0	450
74	77	Sonofodin52	79	75	76	76	85	57	448	0.460	2	1	449
88	78	loyalcanuck	60	71	88	74	65	80	438	0.451	1	8	446
59	79	tracyr	82	63	73	87	75	63	443	0.456	1	2	445
49	80	stroh23	67	48	77	78	86	80	436	0.449	0	0	436
69	81	DarthDurron	61	68	71	70	85	80	435	0.448	1	0	435
64	82	toddcommish	69	74	75	66	68	80	432	0.444	0	0	432
79	82	happyhours	67	78	82	76	69	60	432	0.444	0	0	432
87	84	cholatse	52	76	72	78	80	69	427	0.439	0	0	427
91	85	garmansouth	61	66	76	74	82	66	425	0.437	1	0	425
83	86	northof49	82	71	73	38	91	59	414	0.426	1	9	423
82	87	gigrant	76	64	83	77	61	61	422	0.434	0	0	422
66	88	sjh0825	77	57	82	62	51	77	406	0.418	0	0	406
75	89	bigsteve12	68	49	57	68	81	74	397	0.408	0	0	397
89	89	deathdealer	62	59	67	79	66	64	397	0.408	0	0	397
16	91	jschirn	53	58	61	68	73	79	392	0.403	0	0	392
93	92	tridentric	66	78	66	56	56	45	367	0.378	0	0	367
90	93	marvin_katko	69	23	66	63	68	69	358	0.368	0	0	358
95	94	Zachsmikle1	53	60	56	46	72	59	346	0.356	0	0	346
94	95	spoonfed	51	53	64	73	65	37	343	0.353	0	0	343
96	96	steelerfan19	45	42	32	41	36	17	213	0.219	0	0	213

doctorcc has moved up from 19th to 6th with a great playoff performance so far

Next standings update will be tomorrow night, after either the pm2 games or the next day's am games.

All leagues have reached the WS. Six have completed. So, 18 left. Lots of points still on the board.

It looks like PennQuaker and buddhagamer both have zero teams remaining, and they are both stuck at a total of 546. If the other 23 WISC spots are accounted for and only one of them will make it, what exactly is the tiebreaker?

(1) regular season wins (2) playoff wins (3) best single team overall point total (4) second best single team overall point total, etc.

Post has been updated for the am cycle:

In the Hunt for the Cage:

Everyone above Pennquaker is a lock for the cage (Jtpsops' point total of 550 cannot be caught by enough of the owners on the bubble).

#23 Pennquaker (546) Zero teams remaining (wins tiebreaker over buddhagamer because of regular season wins)
#24 buddhagamer (546) Zero teams remaining
#27 NebHusker (543) Two teams remaining in the WS; one tied 0-0 and the other tied 3-3.
#31 beauchamp (536) One team remaining in the WS tied 3-3.

Eliminated

#25 jbohrman (544) Zero teams remaining. As the current #24 has 546 points, jbohrman is eliminated (unless there are dropouts).
#26 besterateam (543) Zero teams remaining. As the current #24 has 546 points, besterateam is eliminated (unless there are dropouts)
#28 rbow923 (542) Zero teams remaining. As the current #24 has 546 points, rbow923 is eliminated (unless there are dropouts)
#29 ballsweatsux (540) Zero teams remaining. As the current #24 has 546 points, ballsweatsux is eliminated (unless there are dropouts)
#30 barracuda3 (538) Zero teams remaining. As the current #24 has 546 points, barracuda3 is eliminated (unless there are dropouts)
#32 ledfoot (533) Zero teams remaining. As the current #24 has 546 points, ledfoot is eliminated (unless there are dropouts)

At the risk of jinxing myself, I have two WS teams. One up 3-1, one down 3-1.

Assessment of bubble candidates' probabilities of making the Cage (has been updated for am cycle)

Highly probable

#27 NebHusker (543 points and two teams remaining in the WS, one tied 0-0, the other tied 3-3).

Win (the WS) and you are in, lose and you are out

#31 beauchamp (536 points and one team remaining in the WS, tied 3-3).

Pins and Needles

#23 Pennquaker needs NebHusker or beauchamp to not win a WS.

Hope and a Prayer

#24 buddhagamer needs NebHusker and beauchamp to lose all their WS.

Posted by Jtpsops on 8/9/2020 4:05:00 PM (view original):
At the risk of jinxing myself, I have two WS teams. One up 3-1, one down 3-1.

yep overlooked that, good catch.

Nice analysis Justinlee

bubble analysis updated for pm2 cycle.

Quote post by justinlee_24 on 8/9/2020 6:33:00 PM:
Post has been updated for the pm2 cycle:

In the Hunt for the Cage:

d_rock97's point total of 555 cannot be caught by enough of the owners on the bubble


Well that’s good to hear. I was getting real nervous how much more I could drop. I was 11th or 12th in the standings with 13 games left in the regular season. 2 teams choked playoff spots, another had to win Game 163 to avoid choking it. Then the aforementioned playoff losses.

It’s a good thing those below me lost because my team is about to blow a 3-0 WS lead. Only in WIS...