Posted by tangplay on 10/22/2020 11:09:00 PM (view original):
Idk if I would say he won the debate. He set the bar so low three weeks ago that anything would have beaten it. Biden was mediocre and blah, which is typical for him. We'll see what the polls say. Doubt it makes an impact.

Posted by Guitarguy567 on 10/22/2020 10:57:00 PM (view original):
Color me surprised but Trump actually won a debate. Sure as heck didn't see that coming. Wonder if it'll move the polls.

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/22/2020 11:17:00 PM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/22/2020 11:09:00 PM (view original):
Idk if I would say he won the debate. He set the bar so low three weeks ago that anything would have beaten it. Biden was mediocre and blah, which is typical for him. We'll see what the polls say. Doubt it makes an impact.

Biden landed 4 or 5 knockouts with normies.

Trump is terminally online.

dont be terminally online.

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 12:00:00 AM (view original):

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/22/2020 11:17:00 PM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/22/2020 11:09:00 PM (view original):
Idk if I would say he won the debate. He set the bar so low three weeks ago that anything would have beaten it. Biden was mediocre and blah, which is typical for him. We'll see what the polls say. Doubt it makes an impact.

Biden landed 4 or 5 knockouts with normies.

Trump is terminally online.

dont be terminally online.

You can see the OAN and the Fox in everything he says. His base will eat it up. But how does that look to people who don't spend a lot of time looking at politics? For example, does anyone know what "AOC+3" is?

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 1:23:00 AM (view original):
I think, being gracious here, Trump may gain some support from this debate (conservatives who don't like his dimeanor might be fooled) but it won't be enough to erase a 10 point national lead. Barring a huge shift or an unprecedented polling error, Biden has this.

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/23/2020 1:25:00 AM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 1:23:00 AM (view original):
I think, being gracious here, Trump may gain some support from this debate (conservatives who don't like his dimeanor might be fooled) but it won't be enough to erase a 10 point national lead. Barring a huge shift or an unprecedented polling error, Biden has this.

Biden has a better shot of winning 50 states than Trump does of winning.

Which makes the voting decisions of recent courts all the more egregious.

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 2:29:00 AM (view original):

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/23/2020 1:25:00 AM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 1:23:00 AM (view original):
I think, being gracious here, Trump may gain some support from this debate (conservatives who don't like his dimeanor might be fooled) but it won't be enough to erase a 10 point national lead. Barring a huge shift or an unprecedented polling error, Biden has this.

Biden has a better shot of winning 50 states than Trump does of winning.

Which makes the voting decisions of recent courts all the more egregious.

OK, assuming you're being serious about this because it's the second time you've said it, I'm not sure where you're getting the "50 state win" claim from. According to 538, Trump has a 12% chance of winning right now. That's not great, but it's not nothing either.

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/23/2020 8:29:00 AM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 2:29:00 AM (view original):

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/23/2020 1:25:00 AM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 1:23:00 AM (view original):
I think, being gracious here, Trump may gain some support from this debate (conservatives who don't like his dimeanor might be fooled) but it won't be enough to erase a 10 point national lead. Barring a huge shift or an unprecedented polling error, Biden has this.

Biden has a better shot of winning 50 states than Trump does of winning.

Which makes the voting decisions of recent courts all the more egregious.

OK, assuming you're being serious about this because it's the second time you've said it, I'm not sure where you're getting the "50 state win" claim from. According to 538, Trump has a 12% chance of winning right now. That's not great, but it's not nothing either.

Im talking about what’s more likely: Biden winning 50 states or Trump winning?

Its more likely Biden wins 50 states.

No, it won’t happen, but is it more likely than a Trump win, in my opinion? Yes.

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 9:15:00 AM (view original):

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/23/2020 8:29:00 AM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 2:29:00 AM (view original):

Posted by Uofa2 on 10/23/2020 1:25:00 AM (view original):

Posted by tangplay on 10/23/2020 1:23:00 AM (view original):
I think, being gracious here, Trump may gain some support from this debate (conservatives who don't like his dimeanor might be fooled) but it won't be enough to erase a 10 point national lead. Barring a huge shift or an unprecedented polling error, Biden has this.

Biden has a better shot of winning 50 states than Trump does of winning.

Which makes the voting decisions of recent courts all the more egregious.

OK, assuming you're being serious about this because it's the second time you've said it, I'm not sure where you're getting the "50 state win" claim from. According to 538, Trump has a 12% chance of winning right now. That's not great, but it's not nothing either.

Im talking about what’s more likely: Biden winning 50 states or Trump winning?

Its more likely Biden wins 50 states.

No, it won’t happen, but is it more likely than a Trump win, in my opinion? Yes.

How? I think 538 is fairly reliable, and that's not even close to being true.

Posted by Guitarguy567 on 10/23/2020 8:46:00 AM (view original):
I don't think you understand how probability works.