I usually begin these writeups by mentioning how much I love this theme and this draft. But man, I hated this one. I don’t know what it was. Maybe it was the whole picking last thing. Maybe it’s just cabin fever setting in. I don’t know. But this was excruciating. About halfway through I convinced myself that there was no way that I was doing a writeup for this draft because there’s no way I’d ever want to re-live it. But I feel like enough time has passed now that I can dispassionately separate myself from the original event, in sort of a “hey, look at that *******!” kind of way. So like the swallows returning to Capistrano, like moths to a flame, like Tony Montana to a large pile of blow, here I am with my regularly scheduled public service announcement on how not to draft a team.
Nomination –
1929 Howard Ehmke (60 IP, 2.41 ERC#, $1.7M)
I spent about 30 seconds making this selection. OK, so actually, I spent several minutes compiling the list of eligible players before schwarze posted it, but then spent about 30 seconds making the pick. As soon as I saw Ehmke I decided that I had my man. I think it turns out that I should’ve spent more time on this. I mean, in the old days, when draft order went lowest-to-highest, this would’ve been fine, but now this buried me so far down in the draft that there’d be no way that I’d ever make it to the top half. And furthermore, the most attractive element of this pick, the 1929 A’s teammates (Foxx! Simmons! Cochrane! The totally awesome A+ at 3B that I fell in love with during the last Single Team Transformation league Jimmy *****!!!) was rendered totally moot when I ended up using a grand total of zero of them. When I saw the nominee list I had a feeling that this might happen but I was too lazy, or too stubborn, to look into changing it. This will apply to most of the picks I made, but let’s just get it out of the way at the outset: dumbass.
Round 1 –
1895 Al Orth (109 IP, 3.37 ERC#, $3.7M)
When formulating my strategy for this draft (yes, believe it or not, there was strategy, at least at first) I quickly decided that there was no way that I’d avoid getting at least one expensive version of every nominated starting pitcher except Ehmke, and there was no way of getting a “decent” Kid Nichols at the end of Round 1, so I decided to punt him. Just cast him aside and hope to get a usable one, in an #INWIYUI kind of way, in the endgame. So, to me, the two major pitfalls were Orth and Griffith. Pretty early on I decided that, realistically, this was the best Orth that I could hope for, and I was glad to get him. Not because his pitching is any great shakes (a .273 OAV# may be hazardous to your health, 0.0 HR/9+ notwithstanding), and not only because he’s relatively cheap, but because, and stop me if you’ve heard this one before, TEAMMATES!!! Except this time I used some of them. I’ve always been kinda fascinated with the 1895 Phillies, so I picked this league to try some. We’ll see how that works out. I figured that I wouldn’t be able to build a good enough offense to compete using solely nominated players, and that outfield was a good place to sneak in some teammates given that there were a bunch of cheap Guerreros and some not-too-expensive Ordonezes. So I decided that I’d do everything I could to roster
Ed Delahanty (a normalized, as is my wont, .384/.482/.608, C/B, $11.3M) and
Sam Thompson (.372/.413/.646, C/D+, $9.3M).
A funny thing happened when I was setting the advanced settings for my team: I noticed that this Orth can flat-out rake. Given that he’s from 1895 it’ll get normalized down (I assume pitcher hitting gets normalized?) but .356/.370/.511 is nothing to sneeze at regardless. Suddenly I envisioned a guy, who I was originally planning to use as a long reliever, instead being used as a tandem starter whose bat would turn over my awesome lineup and make this team an unstoppable offensive juggernaut. Maybe I’d even bat him leadoff to maximize his potent plate appearances. Then I noticed his speed rating. 18. Really? 18? What does that even mean? Does he moonwalk to first base? Can he score from second on a triple, or does he get caught in a rundown 30 feet from home? I have no idea, but maybe that’s something I’ll experiment with when I’m 28 games out of first at the All-Star break.
Round 2 –
1903 Clark Griffith (258 IP, 2.82 ERC#, $6.7M)
I was one pick away from getting the last cheap Griffith, which was super annoying, but oh well. I don’t love his .251 OAV#, but his ERC# suggests that he might not be all that bad, and at 258 IP it’s not like he’s weighing down my entire pitching staff. I feel that, given my starting draft position, I’ve dodged the two biggest albatrosses as well as I could.
Round 3 –
1985 Tom Herr (.308/.385/.421, B/C, $5.9M)
I have no idea whether this was a good pick. It didn’t feel like one then, and it doesn’t feel like one now, so I’m guessing it wasn’t. But I think it’s justifiable. My original idea was to take the $8M Nomar, who came with a bunch of nice pitching teammates, but he was snatched up 3 picks before mine. The $9.3M Nomar was still available, which the hive mind suggests would’ve been the logical selection since 3 of the following 7 picks were Nomars, with that one going first. But I thought that was a little rich for my blood. Here’s why I went with Herr:
- There were very few other palatable 2B available; Herr or otherwise. 1985 was the only other Herr I wanted starting for me, and the only other 2B teammates I saw were a few Biggios, which would’ve meant drafting certain Bagwells, which would prevent me from getting the cheap Bagwell and using Foxx (which didn’t end up happening anyway). And there was one decent Evers attached to a cheap Brown who I probably wouldn't get.
- Herr came with a good SS teammate, and Nomar had enough cheap seasons that I could be pretty sure of getting one late. Ozzie Smith (615 PA, .281/.360/.365, $6.3M) is certainly nowhere near the hitter that the 2000 Nomar is, but he’s superb defensively, an excellent basestealer, will hit enough to be useful, has the perfect number of PAs to hit 8th and stay at 100% all season, and saved me $3M over Nomar, for whom I would’ve had to waste a roster spot on a backup SS. This part worked out well.
- This Herr also came with the excellent John Tudor, and maybe with the savings at shortstop I could afford him! It turns out that I could. But not this one. Of course. And the cool kids would say that I should’ve used Willie McGee. I wish I could replay this league solely replacing Delahanty and Thompson with McGee and Al Simmons. With all the hits my pitchers will give up those guys would have a field day out there.
I may never know whether Herr would’ve been there for me in Round 4, but I think this pick is defensible even if premature.
Round 4 –
1994 Paul O’Neill (.353/.452/.577, $8.7M)
I’ve seen a lot of great moments as a Yankees fan. The first time I ever stayed up past my bedtime on a school night was to watch Reggie Jackson hit 3 HRs to beat the Dodgers in Game 6 of the 1977 World Series. I’ve seen the Yankees win 7 World Series. Boone’s homer in ’03 was one of the most cathartic moments of my life. But beyond a shadow of a doubt, the proudest moment of my Yankees fandom came in the top of the 9
th inning of Game 5 of the 2001 World Series. The series was tied and the Yanks were losing 2-0, three outs away from going back to Arizona down 3 games to 2. But rather than focus on that, the fans spent the majority of the inning chanting Paul O’Neill’s name in what would likely be the last moments he would ever spend in right field at Yankee Stadium. O’Neill was a very easy guy for opposing fans to hate and mock; he treated every at bat as Armageddon and he never cared who knew about it. But the guy was an absolute warrior and earned every bit of the effusive praise lavished upon him in the Bronx.
But that’s not why I drafted him here. I’d decided that O’Neill would be the nominated outfielder that I would use primarily because he was the only lefthanded OF nominated, and given that all of the nominated SPs were right-handed I wanted as many lefties in my lineup as possible. And I figured if I was going to use O’Neill then why not use the best? Plus it would be embarrassing if my outfield in this $120M league cost less than my famed $25M outfield in the 16x16 league currently in progress. He also brought in two key pieces to my bullpen. I was hoping not to end up using
Steve Howe (58 IP, 1.34 ERC#, $2.5M) as closer because he has a bit too many innings (this team is going to be lucky to win 58 games, let alone have 58 save situations), too few IP/G (1.0), and is a lefty in a league where the majority of nominated hitters were right-handed. But I didn’t acquire any better teammates for the job so here we are. More to my liking was
Bob Wickman (101 IP, 2.16 ERC#, $3.5M), both because I like his low OAV and HR/9 and because the time I visited Detroit to go to two games in Tiger Stadium the last year it was in use a cabbie told me a cool story about Wickman getting into his cab and paying him to cross the border into Ontario and hang out with him at a strip club for several hours. I miss traveling.
Round 5 –
2012 Joe Mauer (641 PA, .323/.421/.431, $5.9M)
This was absolutely the right time and place to choose my Joe Mauer. After my pick a whopping 6 of the next 11 were Mauers. The only problem is I picked the wrong one. I recognize my reasoning at the time. I still thought I needed to save money to use the ’85 Tudor, and I figured that I could live with this Mauer’s Venus de Milo tendencies because guys like Henderson and Raines aren’t going to show up in this league. But, as already recounted, I didn’t end up using that Tudor, and it turns out that there are a few more basestealers in this league than I’d guessed there would be. Furthermore, there’s more than one way to waste salary. Paying a lot for a guy you won’t use is one, but using a guy at a position where he’s rated inferiorly to a different position is another, and I’m paying Mauer for being a good defensive 1B and using him as a lousy C. At the time I thought that perhaps I’d end up with the cheap Bagwell and use this Mauer both at 1B and to spell super-stud Jack Clements at catcher, which would’ve been a fine plan except that the cheap Bagwell was taken before my next pick. The correct pick would’ve been the 2009 $8M awesome offensive Mauer, but besides wanting to save money for a pitcher I wouldn’t end up being able to afford I decided that I didn’t want to waste a roster spot on the backup catcher I’d need to augment his 602 PAs. So who do I end up using as my primary pinch-hitter? A catcher. FML.
Oh, but this Mauer got me RP
Casey Fien (35 IP, 1.88 ERC#, $1.2M). Whoop-dee-bleeping-doo.
Round 6 –
1898 Tommy Tucker (crap, $1.3M)
I know! I know! I have a great idea! Let’s not take a cheap Santo so I can use the Jimmy ***** I want at 3B! Let’s not draft a usable Verlander so I don’t have to waste $4M on him later! Let’s not save $2M on the cheap Ordonez who is also a really good pinch-hitter! Instead let’s take a useless Tucker with no teammates and save $500k over the version I could’ve drafted two rounds later!!! There’s a word I’m trying to come up with here; I’m not sure I remember it but I believe it starts with “dumb” and ends with “***”.
Round 7 –
1996 Jeff Bagwell (.315/.450/.557, $6.9M)
At least I knew this pick was stupid as I was making it. I wrote as much at the time. I think it took about a half a round for me to figure out how dumb the Tucker pick had been, but when I did I realized that I’d already lost the draft. It was so in my head that I just took a guy that I liked, not really caring how bad my team would end up being. There was still a cheap Santo to be had, not to mention a few good ones, but my brain was just completely fried at this point. I do truly like this Bagwell though.
Round 8 –
1972 Ron Santo (572 PA, .309/.398/.497, C+/B, $5.0M)
Having ****** away the chance to take a good or cheap Santo last round, here I take the last palatable one. It could’ve been worse. It might’ve been made better by using the ’72 Billy Williams along with him and saving enough money to, you know, use the ’85 Tudor, but why would I ever use the pitcher who I want to use and for whom I’ve been altering my entire draft strategy?
Round 9 –
1893 Kid Nichols (534 IP, 3.02 ERC#, $14.4M)
Joey Nichols: “Nichols! You see? Nickels! <slaps a nickel on his forehead> You can always remember my name, just think of Joey Five Cents! That’s me! Joey Five Cents!”
Young Alvy Singer: “Whaaaaat an *******!”
I sensed during the draft that the nominated player that most annoyed people was Kid Nichols. He was the Joey Nichols of this draft. But not for me. I was fairly certain that I would get this version, and, given my initial draft position, this was the only one that I wanted. I don’t think that he’s going to be much worse than the 1892 and 1899 versions that were drafted in the second round. This was one of the only aspects of this draft that went right for me. I don’t know whether I needed to take him here (although I really, really did not want the other remaining 500 IP, 3.88 ERC# version) but, unlike most of my picks, I’m fine with this.
Round 10 –
1914 St. Louis Terriers
Mordecai Brown (3.25 ERC#, $4.6M)
This pick, on the other hand…
So I had just gotten off a Zoom call with my mother, father, sister, aunt, uncle and cousin. The call went a lot longer than it should have. I saw that the pick before mine came in right after the call started. I was anxious to make my pick even though I didn’t know who I’d take. The cheap Guerreros had started to go, there was one cheap Ordonez left, and there were some cheap and some decent Lindblads available which would surely start being taken soon. But I was nervous about being stuck with the one remaining expensive Brown ($7.6M), who I don’t think will be able to get people out in a way commiserate with his ERC# or salary. I had looked at the ’14 Terriers Brown as being just as good, but cheaper and with fewer innings. So when the Zoom call ended and I saw that he was still available I grabbed him. Of course, there were cheaper Browns still available, and I won’t be using this one for anything more than a long reliever so whether he can get anyone out is immaterial, so I should’ve gone with a cheaper one, or a different player altogether. But I basically didn’t care at this point. This is just more evidence of how mentally checked out of this draft I was.
Round 11 –
2010 Magglio Ordonez (backup, .305/.379/.461, $2.6M)
And here’s the $1M I wasted by taking Brown, beside the opportunity cost from the fact that a cheaper Brown would’ve been available to me in rounds 12 and 13 also.
Round 12 –
1996 Nomar Garciaparra (backup, .235/.262/.439, $520k)
Well, at least I ended up with a cheap Nomar. And he backs up Herr at 2B. When one of the three best picks of your draft is a $500k guy in the 12
th round, you know you’ve made a mess of it.
Round 13 –
1990 Pedro Guerrero (backup, .284/.338/.425, $3.0M)
Remember all those cheap Guerreros I could’ve taken earlier in the draft instead of making stupid picks? Me too. It’s not like I was planning to not use him since round 1. Oh wait I was.
But I finally got a
John Tudor (147 IP, 2.33 ERC#, $4.3M) I could afford!!! He’ll be a 25-pitch 2-Man tandem starter and get shelled because he’s a lefty who gives up a lot of hits in a league filled with righty hitters. But his name is Tudor.
Round 14 –
1966 Paul Lindblad (mop up, $1.9M)
I remembered in the nick of time (actually several rounds too late) that there’s no reason to spend money on “quality” for innings you won’t use. Plus,
Jack Aker (115 IP, 2.03 ERC#, $3.8M)!!! One unexpected byproduct of this godforsaken draft is that I actually ended up with a bullpen. Now I just need a team to go with it.
Oh, and I also have a pinch-hitter!
Tim Talton (.353/.376/.554, $540k) is one of my favorite backup catcher/pinch hitters in the sim, and would’ve been perfect to rest the awesome ’09 Mauer if I weren’t a dumbass.
Round 15 –
2008 Justin Verlander (waste, suck, $4M)
I was hoping that Chisock would want/need to save money, or take his Lindblad, at the end of the 14
th round so I could get the Verlander I preferred, who was more expensive but came with a really good Scherzer that I might’ve been able to use and several good relievers, but why would anything go right for me in this draft?
Epilogue
While I did a lousy job of drafting, at least I think I did a pretty good job of eviscerating my draft performance in this writeup. I think Roger Ebert could’ve done better (to wit, the greatest review in movie review history:
https://www.rogerebert.com/reviews/deuce-bigalow-european-gigolo-2005) but I did OK.
To close, I thank schwarze for running a very smooth draft, in the same way I thanked my periodontist for the root canal he performed on me last month. I’ll try to get ‘em next time.