Posted by mattstarks on 5/28/2021 11:17:00 PM (view original):
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/28/2021 10:38:00 PM (view original):
Posted by mattstarks on 5/28/2021 10:18:00 PM (view original):
**IF THIS HAPPENS**
In a 50 year sample size starting in 2022.....Teams like UNCW and UNCG will have more titles than teams like Duke and UNC
Let that sink in...
There aren't a ton of people willing to pay money to win a title with the Seahawks rather than the Blue Devils. This simply won't improve upon human user numbers, which is what the goal should be.
what makes you say this, matt?
I agree about 1/3 of the tier 1 programs will get really run-down, but the other 2/3 should be as strong as ever
I think that once a top tier program is made available due to a firing, it won't be as appealing for another coach to apply because there is a chance they could be fired in four seasons. If that continues to happen over time, the top coaches would be more inclined to build "super conferences" in mid major conferences to keep it fun and competitive. Once that happened, it would essentially reverse the appeal of big six conferences compared to mid majors. Would a coach rather coach at UNC in a conference with less that 50% humans (in which said humans would likely be coaching the lower tier programs) or be in a conference like the MEAC in Tark??
Granted, I think it would take a while for this to happen, but I think there would be a chance for that scenario to be very prevalent and I don't think that is what the game was originally intended to be.
I'd call this worst case scenario, but it's an interesting long-term consequence, for sure. I do think, in a much more immediate way, the tier 1 jobs will be Sim more often than not. With recruiting dice rolls largely based on luck, random NT upsets, and a small 4-year window, it will be tough for a lot of people to justify taking the risk; why leave an established and far less stressful tier 3 job for a tier 1 job?
Some will take on the challenge, I'm sure. But as time goes on, fewer and fewer people will elect to bang their head against the wall.