Posted by italyprof on 6/18/2021 5:35:00 AM (view original):
Posted by dino27 on 6/17/2021 1:04:00 PM (view original):
Posted by contrarian23 on 6/17/2021 12:34:00 PM (view original):
Prorating is a precedent, yes, but 2020 is a dramatic outlier (60 games prorated to 162 games AND for the first time WIS prorated the min AB/IP requirement). The combination led to some absurd results.
Doing these things for the negro leagues is going to become a joke, I have to say. Take the 1939 NNL as one example:
https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/NN2/1939.shtml
The AVERAGE team in that league played 40 games - far fewer than any league in the current SLB database. No team played as many as 60 games. The Toledo Crawfords played 11 games. ELEVEN.
I love these leagues, I fully agree that talent and the competition absolutely deserves to be called Major League, and I applaud the decision by MLB and baseball-reference to recognize that. But I think it's frankly absurd to argue that these teams and players should be included in SLB. Just my 2 cents.
I agree with you about the prorating.
maybe they can create a career composite for some players adding together the prime seasons of a player and then prorating.
Yet how many games did Bob Milacki pitch in that season everyone has used him ?
But we’re not pro-rating Milacki’s 3 games to 162. He played 3 games and has 3 games worth of stats. The issue becomes guys who played 11 games giving 162 games worth of stats. This is why the 2020 prorating the minimums has given some crazy outliers because they only played 5-7 games and have stats as
though they played in significantly more.
Using Milacki again, he threw 3 CG in his popular season. He gets credit for 3 CG worth of stats here in WIS. Had he had that season in 2020 he’d be good for 70 IP. In an 11 game season, if he’d thrown those same three starts he’d be good for 383 IP. Now I know you don’t think we should be crediting Milacki with 383 IP for those 3 starts.
But this is currently how WIS handles short seasons. The argument above isn’t that these players shouldn’t be recognized, nor that we shouldn’t recognize the context in which they achieved these stats and played these games, but that there isn’t a way to reconcile them statistically given the sample sizes.
WIS position under previous owners has been “we’d love to include them, but they’re akin to the 1871-1884 MLB leagues. Lots of missing data and incomplete seasons with teams playing schedules of varying and short lengths that make equitable pro-rating difficult, if not impossible to do.”
2020 is already a mess, and I agree it opened doors for NLB seasons even before the recognition from MLB and B-R. But 11-40 game seasons aren’t really useable currently. Hopefully more box scores are found and those seasons will have more recognized games. Until the. We’re realistically limited to the seasons that have at least 60 games. Wouldn’t be much different than seasons with UA or PL or FL teams for a season or two. Having NLB teams for a season here and there would still be exciting without totally distorting their accomplishments and this game.