Top 5 on the Draft Big Board - "on the fence" Topic

On my Texas team in Wooden, Eddie Truex (NQ SR) is listed at number 5 on the big board and listed as "on the fence". Has anyone else seen anything like this? Should I get my hopes up to keep him?

cub, I expect to hear from you on this!
5/5/2022 4:14 PM
4th year seniors do not show properly on the big board, the logic for them to display right is missing so it defaults to this, because most seniors graduate or something. my memory is fuzzy, but i think we know that the odds for that 4th senior leaving are the same as an equivalently ranked junior. which would put the odds for your guy in the 90-95% range or so. don't get your hopes up basically, but 5th ranked guys come back every once in a while, so its not unheard of for him to stay.
5/5/2022 5:01 PM
I don't know anything about the percentages, but ALL players that were inel from the start, show up as "on the fence" for their first Sr year. Whether they are top 5 or below 100. As far as them leaving early or not, I know nothing about those tendencies
5/5/2022 7:58 PM
Posted by mattstarks on 5/5/2022 4:14:00 PM (view original):
On my Texas team in Wooden, Eddie Truex (NQ SR) is listed at number 5 on the big board and listed as "on the fence". Has anyone else seen anything like this? Should I get my hopes up to keep him?

cub, I expect to hear from you on this!
i think there's a 100% chance he stays, unless they fixed it.
5/5/2022 9:42 PM
I can confirm all redshirted seniors still automatically return for the next year EVEN IF THEY DECLARE FOR THE DRAFT in the news/email.

I don't even think 3rd-year SRs even declare though. They used to be listed as "graduating" so there is a chance they patched this? We will find out soon.
5/5/2022 9:45 PM
Posted by topdogggbm on 5/5/2022 7:58:00 PM (view original):
I don't know anything about the percentages, but ALL players that were inel from the start, show up as "on the fence" for their first Sr year. Whether they are top 5 or below 100. As far as them leaving early or not, I know nothing about those tendencies
Top you helped fix a bug about this a few years ago

Honestly I'm still kicking myself for being so stubborn about that and pushing for it to get fixed. I should have just kept that little bit of info for myself, suckas!
5/6/2022 10:33 AM (edited)
Was this ever actually patched, though? If he still says "OTF" instead of Likely Going?
5/6/2022 11:23 AM
Posted by cubcub113 on 5/6/2022 11:23:00 AM (view original):
Was this ever actually patched, though? If he still says "OTF" instead of Likely Going?
Not sure if it was officially fixed but it's supposed to be on the fence. Seble said that they should be more likely to leave than even Likely Going but I haven't dug in to it after the bug was identified.
5/6/2022 11:42 AM
They definitely leave now, about in line with where they are on the board. Someone who tracks this stuff would have to tell you if it’s exactly in line, but it’s almost certainly more often than “on the fence” if they’re projected in the first round.
5/6/2022 9:58 PM
Top 5 on the Draft Big Board - "on the fence" Topic

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