Draft writeups, League Draft phase
These writeups will appear in league number order.
League 2 Draft – pick #7
AL Central – pick #1
1924 Robins, 1922 Browns, 1924 Cardinals
.338/.407/.528; 2.80
This team provides an interesting test for the Cockamamie System. Earlier I mentioned that when conducting my initial research I drafted rosters for the top six teams in CSPs for each division. My reasoning was that my preferred first round pick in a given division would almost certainly be ranked in the top six, and there was no need to look at teams I’d take second or third until I knew which team I ended up with. In this division I had the first pick and chose the 1924 Robins, who were ranked 8th in CSPs. Sounds like I disregarded the CS, right? Well, yes and no. The Robins are notable in that they are ranked just 20th in the division in total salary (per 1450 PAs and 6000 IPs). In other words, this is the sort of team that the system is designed to highlight. I might’ve completely passed over them if I only looked at total salary, but the more I looked at them, the more I liked them. I only used eight of their players, and one of them is a defensive replacement and another a long reliever, so they weren’t high on quantity. But the quality is clearly there. Jack and Zack (Fournier and Wheat) both rake, and Andy High adds versatility by providing good offense at three infield positions. The most valuable player, though, is one Charles Arthur Vance. In the early days of this site there was a user (perhaps one of the crestens?) who would often respond to discussion threads about pitching with just a two-word response: “DAZZY VANCE”. He was crazy, but he was right, and especially for this league. Vance is the best SP in the division, and when combined with two other useful pitchers (Ehrhardt and Doak) and the good hitters I thought that the marginal value was there to make this team the first pick in the AL Central.
I really didn’t know what to expect in terms of teams that would make it back to me for my 2nd and 3rd picks. The top ranked team in CSPs was the 1923 Yankees (spoiler alert: Babe Ruth is good) who were taken at #3, and the three best pitching teams (‘24 Senators, ‘23 and ‘24 Reds) were all taken before my pick. So, lo and behold, I had little choice but to go all offense. The 1922 Browns added some fair-to-middling pitching but also George Sisler, who is one of the most consistently productive players in the sim, and a dominant Ken Williams. And the 1924 Cardinals have some guy named Rogers Hornsby. Perhaps my favorite baseball story, probably apocryphal, sometimes misattributed as having been about Ted Williams: one day, a rookie pitcher is facing Rogers Hornsby. The pitcher throws a pitch on the outside corner. The ump calls it a ball. The pitcher throws a pitch on the inside corner. The ump calls it a ball. The pitcher starts complaining that the ump is squeezing him. The ump takes off his mask, steps in front of home plate, and yells to the pitcher: “Young man, when you throw a strike, Mister Hornsby will let you know.”
So how will this talent-laden team fare? This will be another interesting division. Footballmm11’s 1923 Yankees/Reds/Indians look very strong, and schwarze’s 1924 Senators/Reds/Giants will be a referendum on the importance of run prevention versus run scoring. Should be fun.
League 4 Draft – pick #10
AL East – pick #3
1946 Red Sox, 1945 Cubs, 1945 Senators
.317/.404/.474; 2.44
This was my second-lowest pick in any draft this round. Since I already had the 1939 Yankees in the NL, I had to take an AL team. At this point I could either join the 1948 Indians in the Central, the 1948 Indians and 1949 Red Sox in the West, or the 1944 Cardinals in the East. As good as the ’44 Cards are, they’re not as dominant as the ’48 Indians so I went East. While I had the ’45 Cubs ranked higher, I went with the ’46 Red Sox because Ted Williams (.346/.498/.676) is far and away the best offensive player in the division (138 OPS# points above the next full-time player), Doerr and Pesky are very good at key positions, and Tex Hughson should provide halfway decent pitching. I say should because in Round 2 he got lit up like a souse at last call. I was happy that the ’45 Cubs made it to my second pick as they have 500+ innings of good pitching, plus good offense as well as defense in Cavaretta, Hack and Pafko. My lineup mostly set, I went pitching with pick 3 and grabbed the best starting pitcher in the division in Roger Wolff, along with several other useful hurlers. OK, so I have the best pitcher and the best hitter in the division, so how will I do? Unfortunately for me it looks like toysboys’ ’44 Cards/’46 Tigers/’44 Red Sox are the class of the division. My team is tough for me to gauge because it’s the rare barracuda3 pitching and defense focused team, but I’m hoping that I can come in second and compete for the wild card. However, this is going to be a tough league so I’m guessing I’ll fall a bit short of that.
League 6 Draft – pick #2
NL East – pick #1
1964 White Sox, 1964 Braves, 1964 Giants
.304/.377/.501; 2.40
I mentioned earlier that I considered taking the 1964 White Sox with my last pick in the Top 20 phase. Well, lucky me, I had the first post-Top 20 pick in their league and was able to grab them here. I took the NL East version because 1962-1964 has more hitting and doesn’t have the 1965 Dodgers. The ’64 Pale Hose pitching needs no introduction; they’re among the best single-season staffs in history. They also include two scintillating infield defenders in SS Ron Hansen and 3B Pete Ward. I was overjoyed that the 1964 Braves made it to my next selection. I needed offense and the Braves have it with Torre at catcher, Menke at second, and Aaron and Carty in the outfield. The 1964 Giants provided a nice balance to that selection with offense from Mays and Cepeda and pitching from Marichal, Perry, and Don Larsen. However, while I like this team, I don’t love it. I thought I would, as I got the teams that I wanted, but for whatever reason it doesn’t look better on paper than jrig21’s ’64 O’s/’63 Giants/’62 Yankees. He scored a coup there in getting the ’62 Yanks with the final pick in the draft. Well done.
League 7 Draft – pick #4
NL East – pick #2
1975 Dodgers, 1975 Red Sox, 1974 Reds
.297/.377/.491; 2.57
I only had one pick in this league, and only three teams had been chosen when my pick came up, so there were three divisions I could’ve chosen where I would’ve had first pick. I instead chose the NL East because I thought that the 1975 Dodgers were clearly the best available team in the league. They have a huge advantage over most teams because they provide more than 1,000 good innings, so you can completely punt pitching with one of your other two selections. So did this gambit pay off? I have no idea, but I’m a bit underwhelmed with the result. The problem, which I should’ve recognized at the time, is that there was really no available offensive team in this division to make this strategy worthwhile. The ’75 Reds were already gone, and I knew that the ’76 Reds would never make it back to me. The best I could hope for was the 1975 Red Sox, who I ended up getting as I knew I would because they have positively zero pitching so the only person who would possibly draft them would be the one with the ’75 Dodgers. And they’re good, but they’re not all that. Lynn is amazing and always does well for me, Fisk is nice albeit for only half a season and is somewhat superfluous on a roster that ended up with Johnny Bench. Carbo and Cooper are fine in limited roles, and that’s about it. Meh. I knew I’d be able to get the ’74 Reds with my last pick because glowguy already had his Reds team. Which reminds me, twice in this round people selected teams with pick 7 that they should have known that they could get with pick 10 because I had picks 8 and 9 and I already had a team from that franchise. With clones prohibited it would be highly unlikely that anyone would double up on a franchise. Anyway, I think I might have the best team in this division, but it’s quite possible that I don’t and I therefore wish I had just manned up and chosen whatever I thought was the best team in one of the other divisions rather than trying to get cute here.
League 8 Draft – pick #3
AL West – pick #1
1997 Braves, 1997 Rockies, 1998 Padres
.307/.382/.524; 2.36
I really didn’t want anything to do with this league. None of the NL teams appealed to me, and all of the AL divisions promised to be really difficult with all of the good Braves teams. It seemed like it would be a disadvantage to pick first in a division the AL. Cockamamie System said that the best pick would be the 1998 Braves in the AL West. I agreed that they were the most talented team available, but I instead chose the 1997 Braves in the same division, using the same reasoning as I used in League 7: choosing a team with 1,000+ usable innings means that you can punt pitching with one of your other teams. Soon after I made my pick I somewhat questioned my decision to go against CS, as ybjsports gobbled up the AL West ’98 Braves two picks after mine, while there were still two divisions that did not yet have a team drafted. But at the end of the day I think I made the right choice. Why? Because, unlike League 7 NL East, this division has a dominant offensive team with no pitching, and that team is the 1997 Rockies. I knew I’d get them because I knew that no one would risk taking a team with zero usable pitching in the first two rounds. The only person crazy enough to do that is me, and I wasn’t drafting against me. Using that unassailable logic I filled my lineup with the monster Larry Walker season and other nuggets such as Galarraga, Castilla, Burks, and Jeff Reed. I paired them up with the ill-fated 1998 Padres (seriously, the poor Padres, the first two times they make it to the World Series they face the ’84 Tigers, who started the season 35-5 and coasted to the championship, and the 114-win ’98 Yankees) who add a great 257 IP Kevin Brown, the dominant Trevor Hoffman season and 50 home run Greg Vaughn to the mix. I may be wrong, but I think I have the best team in this division, and if it ends up that I’m right then this will have been my proudest strategic achievement of this round.
League 9 Draft – pick #5
AL Central – pick #1
2006 Twins, 2008 Dodgers, 2007 Yankees
.315/.389/.512; 2.40
To me the 2006 Twins were a pretty easy first choice in this division. Mauer is a great player at a position with not many of those, Santana is a very good SP, Liriano provides a great 122 IP, there are several excellent relievers including a lights-out Joe Nathan, and Morneau is very good. CS agreed, rating this team a full 3 points above the second-highest team, the 2006 Mets who somehow were not drafted at all here despite having been the fourth pick in the AL East draft.
With my second and third picks I posted the following:
“I decided a while ago what would be the first team I'd take here, but I've been agonizing for the past hour between which should be the second of my two teams. I was all set to take the team that I like less, both because I think they're better and because they would help other people more so it would be good to take them out of circulation. But then I decided that this is a game and games are supposed to be fun, so screw it, I'm taking the team I like better. You're welcome.”
It took me a minute to remember what that was all about. The first pick, the Dodgers, made sense: several great relievers, a good SP in Derek Lowe, an excellent offensive Manny, a dominant 164 PA Furcal and a solid Ethier. But what was the other team I was talking about but didn’t choose? Oh yeah, the 2008 Red Sox. Very good offensive and defensive 2B and 3B in Pedroia and tGGoW (the Greek God of Walks), solid Drew and Bay in the OF, decent relievers in Papelbon and Delcarmen, and aforementioned Manny who would add nothing since I already had him but on whom I would corner the market and therefore prevent everyone else from using. But nobody ended up using him anyway, and I like my team as constructed with the 2007 Yankees. While they include the worst post-rookie Mariano Rivera season and no other pitching other than Chien-Ming Wang who will probably suck but can be skipped in the postseason if I make it that far, they add a monster A-Rod at third base, solid if unspectacular Cano and Jeter up the middle, and one of my favorite hitters in the sim: Jorge Posada at DH and backing up Mauer. I like my chances here.
League 10 Draft – pick #15
NL East – pick #3
2011 Tigers, 2010 Rangers, 2010 Reds
.312/.383/.513; 2.33
This was my lowest draft pick, but I like the way my team turned out. The 2011 Tigers were a very good starting point with an excellent Verlander and a good Fister (tee hee) in the rotation, a few solid relievers, a dominant Miggy at 1B, a good Avila at catcher backed up by DH-C Victor Martinez, and an acceptable offensive and defensive shortstop in Mister Misplaced H himself, Jhonny Peralta. The 2010 Rangers added a very good SP in Cliff Lee, an OK 4th starter in CJ Wilson, one of the top 5 offensive players in the division in Josh Hamilton, a nice Nelson Cruz and some solid relievers. The 2010 Reds didn’t add a ton except for excellent offensive Votto who will hopefully not kill me defensively in RF in the 100 or so games he starts there, a couple of useful bullpen arms including 103 IP long reliever Travis Wood, and good glove mediocre bat types in Phillips and Rolen at 2B and 3B and Edmonds and Bruce in the OF. A solid, workmanlike effort and a team that I expect will contend for the division title. I have the division pitching staffs virtually even (2.33, 2.33, 2.37 and 2.39 ERC#s for the first 1450 IP of each team) and I’ll take my chances with my team’s offense. While this was my lowest initial draft pick I'd bet that it won't be my worst team.
These drafts were super fun. Thanks as always to thejuice6 for running an excellent tournament.
3/29/2023 9:56 PM (edited)