If a league used the types of scouting caps I mentioned, what do you think the consequences would be?
In the draft, you would want the cap to be set at a number that would leave people just leery enough that it wouldn't be worthwhile to tank. What do you think that number might be?
In IFA, the point would be to encourage participation and to introduce greater random error and the possibility of more busts; to make signings more risky. There would also be the possibility of some dumb luck. At the same time, you wouldn't want scouting to be without value. Where would you put the number on that?
What got me thinking about this idea was reading the book "October 1964" by David Halberstam. He described how the Yankees discovered Mickey Mantle. Basically, in a moment of serendipity, one of their scouts decided to pull off the road a watch a random baseball game in Oklahoma. Still, from just this first encounter, the scout was positive that he had seen one of the greatest baseball talents of all-time. Skill and great fortune.
On the other hand, countless fine players were thought by many scouts not to have any real potential.
10/19/2023 5:17 PM (edited)