Our one and only hope
This is my last surviving team out of the 11 I started with. It’s also my first diamond draft format experience. I have no idea how this will play out. My initial strategy was going to be to grab a catcher in the 1st round and SP’s in the 2nd and 3rd rounds but after the draft started I realized I would want a starting pitcher as there wouldn’t be many aces left if I waited until the 2nd round.
I decided on Koufax but redcped took him right before my pick. Ok, that’s not usually a problem. I can just pick up the readily available and almost always an all-star for me, Clayton Kershaw. But at the last second, I had this thought about playing in WIS stadium and whether or not I wanted to draft pitchers from pitchers’ parks. This thought also ruled out Greinke, who coincidentally went right after this pick.
I have had some recent success with Arrieta and deGrom…I really like deGrom but he’s short innings compared to Arrieta. So is Lamet, whom I also had recent success with. And Verlander is another solid option. Nope, 2015 Jake Arrieta would be the ace we build around this time. He brings with him 229 innings with a 1.54 ERC#, .190 OAV#, 0.89 WHIP#, and 0.31 HR/9#. Coming from Wrigley field, WIS Park should work in his favor some.
We had a long wait before our next pick. I decided to stick with the plan of drafting SP’s in the next two rounds. I really wanted a LH this round and there wasn’t much left. There was Tudor but he really only had 1 good starting season and the others are better in relief. Tanana was kind of the same. Luckily for me, Chris Sale was also available and he had a few good seasons to choose from. I selected his 2018 version (158 IP, 1.71 ERC#, .187 OAV#, 0.88 WHIP#, 0.43 HR/9#) and his 2017 season (214 IP, 2.21 ERC#, .211 OAV#, 0.98 WHIP#, 0.68 HR/9#). That gets me my #1, #2, and #5 SP’s with 601 quality IP’s. Not a bad start…
I noticed a shift towards hitters in the 3rd round but not enough for me to nab one of my top prospects. Schmidt and Gonsolin went right after I picked Sale, Scherzer went early in round 3 followed by Smoltz and Hershiser. There were still some good options on my short list: Cole, Harvey, King Felix, Saberhagen, Jose Fernandez, Darvish, Tudor, and Lowe. I made a quick cursory review and I came across Brandon Woodruff who had 3 very solid seasons as opposed to the latter pitchers who mostly had 2 solids with an above average. I took Woodruff’s 2020 season (199 IP, 2.39 ERC#, .213 OAV#, 1.01 WHIP#, 0.73 HR/9#) and 2021 season (179 IP, 2.19 ERC#, .211 OAV#, 1.00 WHIP#, 0.63 HR/9#) to fill the #3 and #4 spots in the rotation. That gives us 979 quality SP innings. It’s a little on the shy side but should be enough if I run a 6 or 7 man bullpen. The last spot will be filled by his 2023 season (67 IP, 1.72 ERC#, .177 OAV#, 0.83 WHIP#, 0.87 HR/9#) and will be a nice start to building our bullpen.
We’re in the 4th round and our rotation is complete but we have zero offense. The original plan before the draft started was to draft a catcher in the 1st round. That would have most likely been Johnny Bench although both Pudge and Mauer were being given serious consideration. So, Bench in the 1st and I still would have been looking for a LH SP so Sale would go in the 2nd. I would have then drafted Cole who also had 3 solid seasons, all with over 200 IP. Hmm… I think I may have made a mistake when deviating from my original plan…
The original plan here was to draft a middle infielder or corner infielder. Preferably a switch hitter. I had Alomar, Rose, LeMaheiu, Yount, and Molitor on my short list. Alomar and LeMaheiu went right before my pick. Rose gave me 1B, 2B, 3B, and OF choices. Molitor gave me 1B, 2B, 3B, and SS options. Yount would be 3 OF’s and a SS. I opted to go with Pete Rose and took his 1965 season (.319 AVG#, .392 OBP#, .451 SLG#, 5 2B/100#) to play 2B, his 1976 season (.328 AVG#, .409 OBP#, .461 SLG#, 6 2B/100#) to man the hot corner, his 1969 season (.355 AVG#, .434 OBP#, .519 SLG#, 5 2B/100#) in CF, and his 1968 season (.347 AVG#, .407 OBP#, .492 SLG#, 7 2B/100#) in RF. I was hoping to use his 1973 season rather than his 1965 season but I wasn’t able to land a 2B. He would have been a great land in the 5th round but somehow I didn’t think he would make it back to me. But I was feeling good about getting a someone who could play 4 positions and didn’t need a DH spot.
The problem with picking near the end of a round was the long wait following my two picks within 12. My initial plan was always to get an OF who can play another position. I would’ve liked at least one season with an A- range or up to play CF but I could accept playing one of Rose’s B seasons there. My 1st target was stolen base king Rickey Henderson but he was taken shortly after I picked. I had Berkman next and he went shortly after Henderson. I started thinking maybe grab a SS that could play other positions and Trea Turner was available…and then he wasn’t. Then Harper went. This is getting painful. Manny went a little while later. This is killing me…
Finally, I get to pick. At this point I am realizing I need someone to drive in runs and get on base. I know Rose can cover 2 or 3 OF positions so I can pretty much draft the best offensive player I could find who could start in at least 2 positions and have a 3rd season for DH. Killebrew is available and flexible (turns out he’s still available as no one drafted him) as is Thome, who is also a lefty. Billy Williams was another LH possibility. Thome has 3 seasons with more than a 1.000 OBP# which I could use. Sosa had the same from the right side of the plate. But then I came across Jeff Bagwell who had 5 seasons over 1.000 and he actually has a season where he played in the OF. His offense was exactly what we needed. The only downfall, he is a RH. We’ll live…I hope.
We took Bagwell’s 1994 season (.365 AVG#, .449 OBP#, .737 SLG#, 8 HR/100#), 1999 season (.301 AVG#, .447 OBP#, .567 SLG#, 5 HR/100#), 2000 season (.308 AVG#, .417 OBP#, .590 SLG#, 5 HR/100#), 1996 season (.315 AVG#, .450 OBP#, .557 SLG#, 8 2B/100#) and 1997 season (.286 AVG#, .423 OBP#, .578 SLG#, 6 HR/100#). 1994 Baggy will play in LF. I haven’t decided on who will play 1st and DH but I’m leaning towards 1997 at 1B to help compensate for Rose’s poor defense at 2B and 1996 Baggy at DH. I’m feeling pretty lucky to get him this late in the draft.
The original plan was to get my corner fielders and middle infielders in the 4th and 6th rounds and OF’s in the 5th. 7th and 8th rounds would go to RP’s and I would hopefully get a C with at least 600 PA’s and an A+ arm in the 9th. But the run on relief pitchers came earlier than expected and if I chose to use Rose at 2B, I only needed a SS and a C. Finding a MIF who had both good offensive and defensive prowess for both positions was going to be difficult and I still needed good relief pitchers to get me to 1400 innings. Getting a relief pitcher with 4 good seasons might be doable.
The RHer’s were the only ones who had 4 RP’s that would all be effective. I considered Huston Street and Sergio Romo before selecting Koji Uehara. We took Koji’s 2013 season (0.78 ERC#, .133 OAV#, 0.58 WHIP#, 0.46 HR/9#), 2012 season (1.11 ERC#, .164 OAV#, 0.66 WHIP#, 0.76 HR/9#), 2011 season (1.25 ERC#, .155 OAV#, 0.72 WHIP#, 0.94 HR/9#), and 2015 season (1.67 ERC#, .192 OAV#, 0.95 WHIP#, 0.51 HR/9#) for a total of 197 innings.
That pick puts us at 1243 IP/162. We still need at least 150 innings… from a lefty. Pickings were getting slim. Charlton, Brewer, and Loup were all given consideration but Arthur Rhodes gave me the most bang for the buck. We took his 2002 season (70 IP, 1.37 ERC#, .186 OAV#, 0.83 WHIP#, 0.38 HR/9#), 2001 season (68 IP, 1.48 ERC#, .186 OAV#, 0.84 WHIP#, 0.49 HR/9#), and 2005 season (44 IP, 1.94 ERC#, .204 OAV#, 1.04 WHIP#, 0.31 HR/9#). That gives us 1425 IP/162 which should be sufficient for this league.
My last two picks and I need a SS and a C. I decided C would be the way to go since the run was just beginning. And there would also be more 600+ PA/162 SS available to me at the end of the draft versus catchers. Now I just needed to find a LH or switch hitter with an A+ arm who can hit. Easier said than done…
Initially, I had 3 catchers on my short list and two were still available after my last pick (Bench and Pudge). I had to wait only 10 picks before I could nab one of them…and then the run started. Napoli, Pudge, Bench, and Howard were gone in 4 of the 1st 5 picks of the 8th round. I looked at the lefties and switch hitters first: Victor Martinez and Darrell Porter. Martinez hits well but has no arm. Porter has an arm and gets on base but I’ve had issues getting any kind of run creation from him. I took a look at righties and found Fisk, Molina, and a nice Javy Lopez platoon. But Lopez had no arm in either version I would consider which left Molina and Fisk. I opted to go with Carlton Fisk and his 1977 season (.313 AVG#, .401 OBP#, .509 SLG#, 4 HR/100#) to start at C and his 1974 season (.302 AVG#, .386 OBP#, .557 SLG#, 5 HR/100#) to back him up. Both have A+ arms so we should keep stolen bases to a minimum.
We now have the long wait before we make our 9th pick. I have Yount and the Wizard on my short list but they both went during the wait. After Ozzie went, I only had to wait for 10 picks before I could select my final player and starting SS. I took a peak at who was left in the pool and narrowed it down to: Bregman, Larkin, Trammell, Valentin, Vizquel, Fernandez, Aurilia, and Story. Trammell got drafted and I narrowed my choices to Larkin and Bregman. I opted for Barry Larkin who has played better for me in the past than Bregman. We took Barry’s 1996 season (.298 AVG#, .409 OBP#, .553 SLG#, 5 HR/100#).
I’m not sure how I feel about this team. I don’t know that our pitching staff can hold some of the powerhouse offenses in this league and whether or not our offense can score enough runs to keep pace. Our defense is average at best and we don’t steal a lot of bases. We’ll need to take advantage of our opponents poor defense when they are playing out of position. Only Bagwell has high strikeout ratio’s and only 3 versions of him start. The rest make contact fairly well which will hopefully give us some additional opportunities to force poor plays and errors. If our pitching staff can keep base runners to a minimum and limit homeruns to solo shots, we might have a chance to not only make it to the next round but maybe even sneak into the playoffs. We’re shooting for a top 10 finish in this league which will hopefully be enough to get us into the next round.
7974 PA, .319/.419/.549, 427 2B, 335 HR, 187 SB
1425 IP, .189 OAV, 0.89 WHIP, 2.29 ERA, 1772 K's, 0.80 HR/9
Still having second thoughts about abandoning my original draft strategy...
Good luck everyone!