Posted by samuelyork93 on 4/12/2025 9:08:00 PM (view original):
What's your definition of value? What's your metric? Because I actually agree with some of your takes on the greatest all time, except how high you have Wilt. From all the math I have seen Wilt, despite his stupid crazy stats, before like 1967 he didn't add much value to his team. And Bill Russell added SUPER value and is super low. Just curious how you measure the value they add.
Oh, I disagree completely. In Wilt's rookie season his team went 49-26. The season before they were 32-40. So they had 17 more wins and 14 fewer losses than the year before. Wilt always had more win shares and a better WS/48 than Russell.
In Russel's rookie season his team went 44-28. The year before they were 39-33. So Russell added 5 games to the team, plus they had another great rookie in that season, Heinsohn, who was Rookie of the Year. Yes Russell missed some of that season, but he hardly added anything while Wilt turned a bad team into a really good team.
My formula is career win shares + best 7 season win shares divided by 2. So it's half career value and half peak value in the regular season. Then you add in the player's PER in the playoffs. Using PER does not give any advantage to a player whose team is in tons of playoff games, and no disadvantage to a player whose team does not play a lot of playoff games. It's a rate stat, not a cumulative stat. Russell led the league in defensive win shares many times, but he never led in total win shares or in win shares per 48 minutes. Wilt led 8 times in win shares and the same 8 seasons he led each time in win shares per 48 minutes.
I've analyzed every playoff series between the Celtics and Wilt's teams when they played against each other. In the 1963-64 finals Wilt outscored Russell by 90 points in the 5 games, outrebounded him too, and shot a much better percentage from the field. The problem was that while Wilt was outscoring Russell by 90 points the rest of the Celtics were out scoring the rest of the Warriors by 110 points.
THAT'S NOT WILT'S FAULT!
Wilt was far better and way more valuable than Russell. Russell just had WAY better teammates than Wilt did. That is reflected in this sim, as Russell is not very good at all while Wilt is one of the top 5 players. The Celtics had great players at every other position aside from center. Heinsohn and Bailey Howell at PF. Havlicek at SF. Sam Jones and Bill Sharman at SG. Cousy at PG. All those guys are like top 40 all time at their positions. When Sam Jones retired either him of Hal Greer was the greatest SG in league history. Sam Jones would have been MVP of like 3 Finals if they had the award back then.
People vastly overrate Russell because his team won lots of championships, as if the other players had nothing to do with it. Wilt got to play with still great Jerry West when he got to the Lakers, and they got to the finals 4 times and won once. But Baylor was only a shadow of himself after the 1962-63 season. His win shares per 48 for his first 5 seasons:
58-59 - .165
59-60 - .192
60-61 - .227
61-62 - .179
62-63 - .205
He then fell off tremendously to...
63-64 - .109
64-65 - .078
65-66 - .082
66-67 - .109
67-68 - .127
68-69 - .133
69-70 - .168
70-71 - .032
So after the 62-63 season he only had one season where he played even near all star level, and that was 1968-69. In 1963-1964 he was barely even an average NBA player. In 1964-65 and 1965-66 he was well below the level of an average starter in the league. In 1966-67 he was barely at the level of an NBA starter. So Wilt never played with Baylor when he was even very good, let alone great. He was a liability by then, and that also shows in the sim.
I have no idea what math you are looking at, but Wilt was easily the top player in the league in the 60s, and that's why he is BY FAR the best player from that era in the sim. Lots of leagues even ban Wilt because he is much better than everybody else if you are running a league with those older players.