Indians Draft Recap
With a low first round pick, I didn’t expect to get any impact pitchers such as ’08 Joss, ’68 Tiant or ’20 Bieber. I was hoping to get good seasons of Nap Lajoie, Joe Jackson and Tris Speaker with my first three draft picks. I plan on playing in League Park II in order to try and limit HRs. I don’t plan on taking any big HR hitters such as Jim Thome or Albert Belle.
Round 1, Pick 13
1903 Nap Lajoie ($7,120,893)
With two picks to go before my turn, both 1911 and 1912 Joe Jackson seasons are still available. Then they went back-to-back (to bheid408 and ff09). Damn! I can wait a round on Tris Speaker, so my decision was between 1903 and 1904 Nap Lajoie. I was very close to taking the much better hitting Lajoie season (1904) despite being a worse defender. I had 1904 Lajoie all typed in, then I did some quick math. I wanted one of Tris Speaker’s top three full seasons (1923, 1920, 1916) with my next pick. If I took 1904, I would likely be picking sixth in round 2. But if I took ’03 Lajoie (.349, .393, .538, C/A+), I would likely be picking in the top three. That was just enough of a boost to change my pick to 1903. Given my propensity to wait on pitching, having the A+ range at 2B instead of C+ will certainly help.
Round 2, pick 4
1920 Tris Speaker ($10,627,526)
Not surprsingly, njbigwig takes ’04 Lajoie on the very next pick. The next two picks undercut my salary, so I ended up picking fourth this round. I need one of the three picking ahead of me to not take one of the three Speaker seasons I am hoping for. As it turns out, two people passed on Speaker before emanes10 took ’23 Speaker. I quickly grabbed 1920 Speaker (.375, .473, .559, B/B+). My hope is to get Joe Jackson’s 1913 season next round (he might slide since he is a D/D+ fielder).
Round 3, pick 4
1913 Joe Jackson ($7,691,908)
Other players that I might have considered this round included ’94 Kenny Lofton (went at pick 3.01) and 1974 Gaylord Perry (went at pick 3.03), so I didn’t really have a tough decision. I love ’13 Joe Jackson (.377, .462, .576), who has a higher OPS# than ’20 Speaker, but costs nearly $3 million less due to his defense. I got three perfect players for League Park II.
Round 4, pick 2
1913 Willie Mitchell ($7,645,892)
Man, I really wanted ’46 Bob Feller here. He went two picks in front of me (3.16) to 3dayrotation. That really hurt. I considered grabbing the best closer on the Indians, ’24 Emmanuel Clase but the fourth round just seems to early. The Indians have a number of deadball pitching options but many of them have a higher oav# than I would like. Of the deadball SPs left, ’13 Willie Mitchell (232 ip, 2.42 erc#, .207 oav#, 1.15 whip#, 0.07 hr/9#) has a pretty low oav#, so I picked him without much thought. Based on his innings total, I knew that I probably wouldn’t be able to pair him with another deadball SP. But I could grab some decent low-inning deadball SPs for the bullpen.
Round 5, pick 4
1948 Bob Lemon ($11,011,344)
This was a difficult pick. I thought about ’02 Charlie Hickman and his A+ range at 1B. I considered ’16 Jose Ramirez for his A/A defense at SS. I really like ’50 Larry Doby’s offense/defense combination. But I need a pitcher and ’48 Lemon (307 ip, 2.58 erc#, .214 oav#, 1.16 whip#, 0.39 hr/9#) was clearly the best on left, especially given his oav and hr/9. I knew this would drop me significantly in the draft order.
Round 6, pick 11
2001 Steve Karsay ($2,289,710)
I gambled and lost. I wanted to take ’16 Lindor with this pick but also wanted to move up in the draft order while adding a closer-quality pitcher. By keeping track of everybody’s roster, I determined that only three of the six people picking in front of me needed a shortstop so I might be able to grab Lindor at pick #2 next round. Nope… footballmm11 took him at pick 6.14. Well, at least Karsay (44 ip, 1.22 erc#, .186 oav#, 0.84 whip#, 0.15 hr/9#) has all the features I want in a closer.
Round 7, pick 2
1930 Ed Morgan ($6,842,501)
I was going back and forth on taking either a 1B or an OF here. The top OF I was considering was ’34 Earl Averill. The top 1B was ’30 Ed Morgan (.335, .401, .582, C-/A-). ’50 Doby just went at 7.01, so I should probably take the OF here. But there are a bunch of similar choices at OF. The first base position on the Indians is loaded with a bunch of Jim Thome and Hal Trosky seasons. Neither of those players makes sense for a League Park II team. Since high-average 1B’s Charlie Hickman and Lew Fonseca have already been drafted, I couldn’t wait any longer on Ed Morgan.
Round 8, pick 2
1932 Earl Averill ($7,089,099)
Sure enough, both ’31 and ’34 Averill get taken immediately after I took Morgan. Damn. My top choices are now ’32 Averill (.306, .383, .557, C-/A-) and ’93 Kenny Lofton. Given the fact that Averill has 32 HRs and Lofton is more suited for a negative HR park (with better speed and defense), I should’ve taken Lofton here. But Lofton’s ops# is much lower and Averill did hit 37 doubles and 14 triples, so it's not like Averill is dependent on HRs.
Round 9, pick 7
1919 Ray Caldwell ($2,159,792)
I considered taking my third SP here (’16 Kluber), but SPs with higher HR numbers tend to slide in these drafts. I may try to take him next round. It feels like RPs are starting to go and I want to get some good ones. Caldwell (62 ip, 1.87 erc#, .181 oav#, 1.00 whip#, 0.27 hr/9#) isn’t the best RP on the board, but since he’s really a low-inning deadball SP, he can throw more than 10-15 pitchers per appearance. And I move back up to pick #2 next round.
Round 10, pick 2
1951 Minnie Minoso ($5,976,792)
One of the catchers I had my eye on (’07 Victor Martinez) went at pick 9.13 to ff09. I guess I will wait and take Ron Hassey later. I almost took ’16 Corey Kluber here but hardly anybody is taking SPs now, so I can wait one more round. There are a couple of 3B I like, but Minnie Minoso (.327, .415, .501, C-/B- at 3B) seems like a steal. His offense is perfect for my home park. But not his defense.
Round 11, pick 3
1958 Hoyt Wilhelm ($4,624,013)
Of course, '16 Kluber went four picks after I took Minoso. I don’t see any SP that I want and I already have a couple of low-inning RPs, so let’s compromise and take a high-inning RP. Hoyt Wilhelm (139 ip, 2.16 erc#, .209 oav#, 1.09 whip#, 0.35 hr/9#) will pitch a lot in innings 6 thru 8.
Round 12, pick 3
1980 Ron Hassey ($4,297,519)
I thought about forcing myself to take a SP here, but I wanted to get the lefthanded part of my catching platoon before footballmm11 takes him to pair with Bo Diaz. Hassey (.314, .389, .437, A/B/A-) has 453 PAs. I am looking to platoon him with ’84 Chris Bando. But I am also fine grabbing a full-season Victor Martinez (with a bad throwing arm) if Bando gets taken.
Round 13, pick 5
1947 Bob Feller ($9,087,045)
Although I am not getting as many great defensive range guys as I normally do, I still want SPs that have a relatively low oav#. ‘47 Feller (315 ip, 2.78 erc#, .218 oav#, 1.18 whip#, 0.56 hr9#) is similar to ‘48 Lemon (my 5th round pick) in that they both have a high whip due to a high walk rate, but a low oav and low hr/9. This pick gives me 845 innings from just three SPs. That means I can wait a bit for SP4.
Round 14, pick 11
2011 Joe Smith ($2,3176,257)
I went from pick #5 to pick #11 with the Feller pick. I need to add some low-salaried RPs in order to move up in the draft before round 17. Although I never seem to have any luck with Joe Smith (67 ip, 2.17 erc#, .219 oav#, 1.11 whip#, 0.10 hr/9, B+/A+ defense), I was happy to take him this late and a bit surprised he was still around. People love relief pitchers with low oav and extremely low HRs.
Round 15, pick 8
2008 Craig Breslow ($1,725,031)
I was 100% taking 1906 Elmer Flick this round, but 3dayrotation sniped me (again!) and drafted his sixth full-time OF. What is he doing? Damn it! Time for another RP I guess. Breslow (47 ip, 1.99 erc#, .200 oav#, 1.11 whip#, 0.15 hr/9# with A+/A+ defense) is one of the best pitchers below 50 innings in franchise history. Due to his low IP/G, he will be capped at 10 pitches. He’s also my first lefty RP.
Round 16, pick 4
1995 Manny Ramirez ($5,147,551)
So far, I have seven position players. I still need SS, OF and backup C. That Elmer Flick pick really ticked me off – he would’ve been the perfect fit for my League Park II team. I decided to grab my third OF this round. With two picks to go before my turn, I had my preferred OF narrowed down to two choices (’97 Manny Ramirez or ‘14 Michael Brantley). As I was trying to decide which guy to take, bheid408 selects ’97 Ramirez. OK – that makes my decision easy. One pick to go. Then njbigwig selects ’14 Brantley. WTF?! The double-snipe. After throwing a few things, I calmed down. Then, I realized that ’95 Ramirez (.304/.394/.535. C+/D+) wasn’t that much worse than ’97 Ramirez so that’s where I went. I really don’t like how this Indians draft has gone. It seems like I've been sniped on at least half of the rounds.
Round 17, pick 9
1984 Chris Bando ($2,616,939)
1923 Riggs Stephenson ($3,010,604)
Finally, I got a player that I targeted and didn’t get sniped. Bando (260 pa, .290/.379/.496, C/B/B+) is the perfect platoon partner for Hassey (453 PA). He’s also a switch-hitter. Since Lajoie only has 608 PA, I needed a 2B that could field and wouldn’t hurt me on offense. Stephenson (.308/.346/.472) has 347 PA and plays 2B (C+/A), 3B (C/B) and OF (C/B). A perfect bench/role player.
Round 18, pick 5
1957 Herb Score ($1,489,580)
1990 Lucky Wright ($744,634)
In his first two MLB seasons, Herb Score went a combined 36-19 over 477 innings which included All-Star appearances in both seasons and a Rookie of the Year award in 1955. In 1957, Score suffered a career-altering injury when a line-drive off the bat of Yankees' Gil McDougald struck him in the face, breaking facial bones and damaging his right eye, forcing him to miss the rest of the season and ultimately diminishing his once-dominant pitching career. I drafted this injury-shortened season (39 ip, 2.01 erc#, .152 oav#, 1.23 whip#, 0.00 hr/9#, 6.3 bb/9#). Like most of my other pitchers, he walks a bunch of guys but you can’t get a hit off of him. Lucky Wright (30 ip, 2.29 erc#, .236 oav#, 1.10 whip#, 0.00 hr/9#) is another short-inning deadball pitcher. I don’t have to worry about pitch count with either of these two guys.
Round 19, pick 2
1951 Early Wynn ($8,296,073)
1998 Omar Vizquel ($5,425,371)
So, do all the Indians starting pitchers from the 1940’s and 1950’s have problems walking guys? Early Wynn (290 ip, 2.80 erc#, .225 oav#, 1.18 whip#, 0.58 hr/9#) has a bb/9 rate of 3.5, which is the *best* of my four SPs. Once I missed out on the good Lou Boudreau seasons, I knew I would wait until very late to draft my starting shortstop. With all the baserunners my SPs are going to be walking, I need a defensive wizard at SS who is not a complete zero at the plate. Vizquel (.284/.352/,348) has an ops+ below 100 so clearly he’s a below average hitter, but he’s a switch hitter with a decent batting avg and an ok obp. More importantly, his defense is A+/B-. The B- range is not great, but A+ fielding will be helpful. I will get a backup SS next round who can hit if Vizquel is a disaster at the plate. Question. Which is better defensively? Having a guy like Ray Chapman (C/A+) who will make 20-25 plus plays while also committing 40+ errors or a guy like Vizqual (A+/B-) who will have 3-4 plus plays, 3-4 minus plays but fewer than 10 errors?
Round 20, pick 10
2015 Francisco Lindor ($3,662,785)
1929 Joe Sewell ($6,092,985)
1904 Elmer Flick ($5,525,566)
Clearly, I didn’t care about division placement since I spent $15 million on backup hitters. Lindor (.317/.359/.467, B/C) only has 440 PA, but he is clearly a better hitter than Vizquel and may end up playing a lot. Minnie Minoso isn't a great defensive 3B (C-/B-) so I needed one who could play a little defense (and maybe even hit a bit). Sewell (.303/.362/.414, A/B+) is decent enough to maybe even start a few games when Minoso needs rest. This 1904 season of Elmer Flick (.316/.389/.482, C/C) actually has a higher ops# than 3day's 1906 Flick but ’06 Flick is a better defensive player. I could Elmer Flick starting over Manny Ramirez at home against RHP, especially against deadball pitchers.
Ballpark:
Since I didn’t draft HR hitters (by design), League Park II was the obvious choice for my home park? Nap Lajoie, Joe Jackson, Tris Speaker, Elmer Flick and Minnie Minoso are all high-average hitters with minimal power. Earl Averill (32 HRs), Manny Ramirez (31 HRs) and Ed Morgan (26 HRs) are also high average hitters and are the only players on my roster with more than 12 HRs. Overall, my team’s triple slash is .327/.399/.503. On the pitching side, we have 1571 innings, with a high 1.15 whip, a low .210 oav, a high 3.6 bb/9 and a low 0.35 hr/9. This is going to be interesting to see how this team does.