I am at Harvard in Naismith where current vitals are 18-9, RPI 36, SOS 39. Pursuant to the current projection report, we are 68th and have hovered at or around 65 for weeks. Does anyone know why that may be? Lack of top 25 wins?

I would guess it is a combo of two factors

1. your Conference RPI is weak and you are being dragged down by the rest of the Ivy.

2. you played a very good non-conference schedule but came out of it with only one quality win - against Villanova.

you are 2-8 against the top 100 rpi. and have 9 total losses which the game values pretty heavily. your rpi is inflated by a hard non conference sos which you werent competitive 7 of your losses are by 10 or more which the game does factor in mov

I would suggest the biggest single factor was the loss to Brown. That's usually way it goes for cusp teams, one "bad loss" can be a real barrier to at-large, per PR.

From what I've seen (and I don't mean to suggest that I've studied it, this is just conjecture based on my general pattern recognition skills), the system makes a determination of a "good" or "bad" loss based mostly, if not entirely, on the quality of the opponent. IOW, losing by 20 to a good team - like a half-dozen of your non-conference losses - won't hurt you near as much as *any* loss to a bad team, IE Brown.

If you had not lost to Brown, you probably made the tourney. There are lots of factors at play, involving a lot of other teams, and I don't think any of the developers/site managers have ever come out and gotten very explicit about the formula, except to imply that it was supposed to be based on the real life process (unclear if it's ever been updated, though, kind of doubtful). But I'm pretty confident in saying that loss hurt you more than anything else.