I’m not going to venture a guess about how much money Iran will get or when they get it but Trump will capitulate on the nuke material. He will say it is underground so big deal and we will watch. He will give up trying to get it. And he will spin.
He will give up on stopping their program completely. They will still enrich.
2 winners and 1 loser. Iran wins because Trump loses. And Israel wins because of the significant degradation of the Iranian Air Force and missiles program and Israel did that themselves.