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1BlueJaysWay
12/09
jruss, I think all of the scouting categories have the same level of variance, so that would also affect the results. I think you would be able to assess the shape of the distribution, but I don't...
ramonshaw
12/09
Even "true potential" at 20m is never accurate.
jruss89
12/09
Agreed (I do 0 adv), but the idea is that if you have 20 ADV,
jruss89
12/09
you have a good sense of what their "true potential" is upon signing, so that you can compare the 5/10/15/20 international scouting projections vs. "true potential", without needi...
jruss89
12/09
Sure, you can make assumptions on players' "true potential" based on their starting stats, but that's not the level of fidelity I would need in order to assess the actual level of va...
ramonshaw
12/09
Imo, money in advanced scouting is a waste. Once you're in HDB for a short bit it's rather easy to know what someone will be based on current ratings. Even 18- and 19-year-olds.
jruss89
12/09
tbh I wish I had the time (and didn't mind throwing away a
jruss89
12/09
few seasons) to put 20 in adv scouting and 5/10/15/20 into international scouting to see what the variance is at each level and whether low international scouting skews to be too optimistic (my hypoth...
ramonshaw
12/09
Mine was an open-ended remark not about one particular guy.
1BlueJaysWay
12/09
Or 95 power!